Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 95.8% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England base rate at 3.75% for the April 30, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, driven by the unanimous March hold amid CPI inflation holding steady at 3.0% through February—well above the 2% target—and upward revisions to quarterly forecasts reaching 3.5% due to Middle East conflict-fueled energy price surges. Recent UK firms' surveys show the sharpest rise in price expectations in years, reinforcing restrictive policy needs despite resilient labor markets. Scenarios challenging this positioning include a surprise drop in upcoming March CPI data or energy price relief from geopolitical de-escalation, though traders see limited near-term catalysts for cuts or hikes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअप्रैल में बैंक ऑफ इंग्लैंड का फ़ैसला?
अप्रैल में बैंक ऑफ इंग्लैंड का फ़ैसला?
कोई बदलाव नहीं 95.5%
वृद्धि 4.3%
50+ बिप्स की कटौती <1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी <1%
$454,179 वॉल्यूम
$454,179 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
50+ बिप्स की कटौती
<1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
96%
वृद्धि
4%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 95.5%
वृद्धि 4.3%
50+ बिप्स की कटौती <1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी <1%
$454,179 वॉल्यूम
$454,179 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
50+ बिप्स की कटौती
$76,315 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी
$160,233 वॉल्यूम
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$113,101 वॉल्यूम
96%
वृद्धि
$104,533 वॉल्यूम
4%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 95.8% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England base rate at 3.75% for the April 30, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, driven by the unanimous March hold amid CPI inflation holding steady at 3.0% through February—well above the 2% target—and upward revisions to quarterly forecasts reaching 3.5% due to Middle East conflict-fueled energy price surges. Recent UK firms' surveys show the sharpest rise in price expectations in years, reinforcing restrictive policy needs despite resilient labor markets. Scenarios challenging this positioning include a surprise drop in upcoming March CPI data or energy price relief from geopolitical de-escalation, though traders see limited near-term catalysts for cuts or hikes.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$454,179समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 95.8% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England base rate at 3.75% for the April 30, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, driven by the unanimous March hold amid CPI inflation holding steady at 3.0% through February—well above the 2% target—and upward revisions to quarterly forecasts reaching 3.5% due to Middle East conflict-fueled energy price surges. Recent UK firms' surveys show the sharpest rise in price expectations in years, reinforcing restrictive policy needs despite resilient labor markets. Scenarios challenging this positioning include a surprise drop in upcoming March CPI data or energy price relief from geopolitical de-escalation, though traders see limited near-term catalysts for cuts or hikes.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$454,179समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 95.8% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England base rate at 3.75% for the April 30, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, driven by the unanimous March hold amid CPI inflation holding steady at 3.0% through February—well above the 2% target—and upward revisions to quarterly forecasts reaching 3.5% due to Middle East conflict-fueled energy price surges. Recent UK firms' surveys show the sharpest rise in price expectations in years, reinforcing restrictive policy needs despite resilient labor markets. Scenarios challenging this positioning include a surprise drop in upcoming March CPI data or energy price relief from geopolitical de-escalation, though traders see limited near-term catalysts for cuts or hikes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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