Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability of no Official Cash Rate (OCR) change at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's May 27 meeting, reflecting the April 8 unanimous hold at 2.25% amid sticky 3.1% year-on-year CPI inflation through December 2025 and spare economic capacity limiting second-round effects. Hawkish forward guidance—citing Middle East conflicts driving oil shocks and potential headline CPI peaks at 4.2% in Q2 2026—has elevated hike odds to 15.5%, with Governor Breman's vigilance on unanchored expectations warranting decisive increases if risks materialize. A 0.4% decrease probability underscores negligible easing bets given upside inflation pressures. Traders eye April 21 Q1 CPI data as a key near-term catalyst ahead of the Monetary Policy Statement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाReserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?
No Change 84%
Increase 16%
Decrease <1%
नया
नया
27 मई, 2026
Increase
16%
No Change
84%
Decrease
<1%
No Change 84%
Increase 16%
Decrease <1%
नया
नया
27 मई, 2026
Increase
$2,127 वॉल्यूम
16%
No Change
$1,689 वॉल्यूम
84%
Decrease
$2,697 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability of no Official Cash Rate (OCR) change at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's May 27 meeting, reflecting the April 8 unanimous hold at 2.25% amid sticky 3.1% year-on-year CPI inflation through December 2025 and spare economic capacity limiting second-round effects. Hawkish forward guidance—citing Middle East conflicts driving oil shocks and potential headline CPI peaks at 4.2% in Q2 2026—has elevated hike odds to 15.5%, with Governor Breman's vigilance on unanchored expectations warranting decisive increases if risks materialize. A 0.4% decrease probability underscores negligible easing bets given upside inflation pressures. Traders eye April 21 Q1 CPI data as a key near-term catalyst ahead of the Monetary Policy Statement.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,512समाप्ति तिथि
27 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability of no Official Cash Rate (OCR) change at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's May 27 meeting, reflecting the April 8 unanimous hold at 2.25% amid sticky 3.1% year-on-year CPI inflation through December 2025 and spare economic capacity limiting second-round effects. Hawkish forward guidance—citing Middle East conflicts driving oil shocks and potential headline CPI peaks at 4.2% in Q2 2026—has elevated hike odds to 15.5%, with Governor Breman's vigilance on unanchored expectations warranting decisive increases if risks materialize. A 0.4% decrease probability underscores negligible easing bets given upside inflation pressures. Traders eye April 21 Q1 CPI data as a key near-term catalyst ahead of the Monetary Policy Statement.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$6,512समाप्ति तिथि
27 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability of no Official Cash Rate (OCR) change at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's May 27 meeting, reflecting the April 8 unanimous hold at 2.25% amid sticky 3.1% year-on-year CPI inflation through December 2025 and spare economic capacity limiting second-round effects. Hawkish forward guidance—citing Middle East conflicts driving oil shocks and potential headline CPI peaks at 4.2% in Q2 2026—has elevated hike odds to 15.5%, with Governor Breman's vigilance on unanchored expectations warranting decisive increases if risks materialize. A 0.4% decrease probability underscores negligible easing bets given upside inflation pressures. Traders eye April 21 Q1 CPI data as a key near-term catalyst ahead of the Monetary Policy Statement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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