Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10, 2026, meeting, reflecting the central bank's steady 2.25% target since October 2025 and its March 18 hold amid balanced risks. February consumer price index inflation eased to 1.8% year-over-year—near the 2% target—but March labor force data showed unemployment steady at 6.7% with only 14,000 jobs added, signaling a softening yet resilient economy. Low odds for cuts (11.3% combined) stem from insufficient downside pressure, while an 8.5% hike probability accounts for potential supply shocks and money market bets on modest tightening later in 2026. The April 29 announcement looms as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाBank of Canada decision in June?
Bank of Canada decision in June?
No change 88%
Increase 8%
25 bps decrease 8%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
नया
नया
10 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
4%
25 bps decrease
8%
No change
88%
Increase
8%
No change 88%
Increase 8%
25 bps decrease 8%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
नया
नया
10 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$188 वॉल्यूम
4%
25 bps decrease
$836 वॉल्यूम
8%
No change
$3,569 वॉल्यूम
88%
Increase
$804 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10, 2026, meeting, reflecting the central bank's steady 2.25% target since October 2025 and its March 18 hold amid balanced risks. February consumer price index inflation eased to 1.8% year-over-year—near the 2% target—but March labor force data showed unemployment steady at 6.7% with only 14,000 jobs added, signaling a softening yet resilient economy. Low odds for cuts (11.3% combined) stem from insufficient downside pressure, while an 8.5% hike probability accounts for potential supply shocks and money market bets on modest tightening later in 2026. The April 29 announcement looms as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,397समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10, 2026, meeting, reflecting the central bank's steady 2.25% target since October 2025 and its March 18 hold amid balanced risks. February consumer price index inflation eased to 1.8% year-over-year—near the 2% target—but March labor force data showed unemployment steady at 6.7% with only 14,000 jobs added, signaling a softening yet resilient economy. Low odds for cuts (11.3% combined) stem from insufficient downside pressure, while an 8.5% hike probability accounts for potential supply shocks and money market bets on modest tightening later in 2026. The April 29 announcement looms as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$5,397समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10, 2026, meeting, reflecting the central bank's steady 2.25% target since October 2025 and its March 18 hold amid balanced risks. February consumer price index inflation eased to 1.8% year-over-year—near the 2% target—but March labor force data showed unemployment steady at 6.7% with only 14,000 jobs added, signaling a softening yet resilient economy. Low odds for cuts (11.3% combined) stem from insufficient downside pressure, while an 8.5% hike probability accounts for potential supply shocks and money market bets on modest tightening later in 2026. The April 29 announcement looms as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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