Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Iranian presidential election by June 30, 2026, at 96.8% implied probability, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's secure four-year term following his 2024 victory, which extends through 2028 absent a triggering event like death, resignation, or removal. The recent killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 prompted formation of a transitional council led by Pezeshkian and senior officials to oversee supreme leadership succession via the Assembly of Experts, but Iranian constitutional procedures do not mandate a snap presidential vote. No official announcements or candidate registrations for a presidential contest have emerged in the past six weeks. Realistic shifts could arise from Pezeshkian's sudden incapacitation, prompting an election within 50 days under the constitution, though such risks remain low amid ongoing geopolitical tensions including U.S.-Iran negotiations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या ईरान में 30 जून तक राष्ट्रपति चुनाव होंगे?
क्या ईरान में 30 जून तक राष्ट्रपति चुनाव होंगे?
हाँ
$201,745 वॉल्यूम
$201,745 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$201,745 वॉल्यूम
$201,745 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Iranian presidential election by June 30, 2026, at 96.8% implied probability, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's secure four-year term following his 2024 victory, which extends through 2028 absent a triggering event like death, resignation, or removal. The recent killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 prompted formation of a transitional council led by Pezeshkian and senior officials to oversee supreme leadership succession via the Assembly of Experts, but Iranian constitutional procedures do not mandate a snap presidential vote. No official announcements or candidate registrations for a presidential contest have emerged in the past six weeks. Realistic shifts could arise from Pezeshkian's sudden incapacitation, prompting an election within 50 days under the constitution, though such risks remain low amid ongoing geopolitical tensions including U.S.-Iran negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$201,745समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Iranian presidential election by June 30, 2026, at 96.8% implied probability, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's secure four-year term following his 2024 victory, which extends through 2028 absent a triggering event like death, resignation, or removal. The recent killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 prompted formation of a transitional council led by Pezeshkian and senior officials to oversee supreme leadership succession via the Assembly of Experts, but Iranian constitutional procedures do not mandate a snap presidential vote. No official announcements or candidate registrations for a presidential contest have emerged in the past six weeks. Realistic shifts could arise from Pezeshkian's sudden incapacitation, prompting an election within 50 days under the constitution, though such risks remain low amid ongoing geopolitical tensions including U.S.-Iran negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$201,745समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Iranian presidential election by June 30, 2026, at 96.8% implied probability, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's secure four-year term following his 2024 victory, which extends through 2028 absent a triggering event like death, resignation, or removal. The recent killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 prompted formation of a transitional council led by Pezeshkian and senior officials to oversee supreme leadership succession via the Assembly of Experts, but Iranian constitutional procedures do not mandate a snap presidential vote. No official announcements or candidate registrations for a presidential contest have emerged in the past six weeks. Realistic shifts could arise from Pezeshkian's sudden incapacitation, prompting an election within 50 days under the constitution, though such risks remain low amid ongoing geopolitical tensions including U.S.-Iran negotiations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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