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अगला नेता 2027 से पहले सत्ता से बाहर हो जाएगा?

Market icon

अगला नेता 2027 से पहले सत्ता से बाहर हो जाएगा?

दिस 31

दिस 31

ओर्बान - हंगरी के प्रधानमंत्री 93%

ताकाइची - जापान प्रधानमंत्री 1.6%

दियाज-कानेल - क्यूबा के राष्ट्रपति 1.6%

जेलेंस्की - यूक्रेन के राष्ट्रपति <1%

Polymarket

$4,484,364 वॉल्यूम

ओर्बान - हंगरी के प्रधानमंत्री 93%

ताकाइची - जापान प्रधानमंत्री 1.6%

दियाज-कानेल - क्यूबा के राष्ट्रपति 1.6%

जेलेंस्की - यूक्रेन के राष्ट्रपति <1%

Polymarket

$4,484,364 वॉल्यूम

ओर्बान - हंगरी के प्रधानमंत्री

$73,993 वॉल्यूम

93%

ताकाइची - जापान प्रधानमंत्री

$385,823 वॉल्यूम

2%

दियाज-कानेल - क्यूबा के राष्ट्रपति

$58,810 वॉल्यूम

2%

जेलेंस्की - यूक्रेन के राष्ट्रपति

$65,075 वॉल्यूम

1%

पुतिन - रूस के राष्ट्रपति

$398,980 वॉल्यूम

1%

पेट्रो - कोलम्बिया के राष्ट्रपति

$82,476 वॉल्यूम

1%

ट्रम्प - अमेरिका के राष्ट्रपति

$259,797 वॉल्यूम

1%

नेतन्याहू - इज़राइल प्रधानमंत्री

$1,058,934 वॉल्यूम

<1%

सांचेज़ - स्पेनिश प्रधानमंत्री

$50,289 वॉल्यूम

<1%

रॉड्रिगेज़ - वेनेज़ुएला कार्यकारी राष्ट्रपति

$67,841 वॉल्यूम

<1%

लूला दा सिल्वा - ब्राज़ील के राष्ट्रपति

$113,436 वॉल्यूम

<1%

अब्बास - फ़िलिस्तीन के राष्ट्रपति

$153,283 वॉल्यूम

<1%

2027 से पहले कोई नहीं

$66,652 वॉल्यूम

<1%

मैक्रों - फ्रांस के राष्ट्रपति

$116,134 वॉल्यूम

<1%

एर्दोआन - तुर्की के राष्ट्रपति

$111,552 वॉल्यूम

<1%

किम - उत्तर कोरिया के सर्वोच्च नेता

$65,791 वॉल्यूम

<1%

न्यूज़ॉम - कैलिफ़ोर्निया गवर्नर

$135,985 वॉल्यूम

<1%

मिलेई - अर्जेंटीना राष्ट्रपति

$69,376 वॉल्यूम

<1%

स्टारमर - ब्रिटेन के प्रधानमंत्री

$615,049 वॉल्यूम

<1%

लेकोर्नू - फ्रांस पीएम

$127,824 वॉल्यूम

<1%

शेनबाम - मेक्सिको राष्ट्रपति

$89,616 वॉल्यूम

<1%

अल-शराअा - सीरिया राष्ट्रपति

$89,392 वॉल्यूम

<1%

शी - सीसीपी के महासचिव

$71,458 वॉल्यूम

<1%

अल्बनीज - ऑस्ट्रेलिया प्रधानमंत्री

$86,447 वॉल्यूम

<1%

मर्ज़ - जर्मन चांसलर

$70,351 वॉल्यूम

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's commanding 93% implied probability stems from his Fidesz party's landslide defeat in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, where opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority amid record 79% turnout driven by voter frustration over corruption scandals, economic stagnation, and EU tensions. Orbán promptly conceded, ending his 16-year rule, with Magyar urging a swift transition to a caretaker government ahead of a May handover. This dominant trader consensus reflects the near-certainty of Orbán's pre-2027 exit, dwarfing low odds on stable incumbents like Putin or Xi. Realistic challenges include procedural delays in National Assembly convening or coalition snags, though Tisza's mandate minimizes such risks.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$4,484,364
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's commanding 93% implied probability stems from his Fidesz party's landslide defeat in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, where opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority amid record 79% turnout driven by voter frustration over corruption scandals, economic stagnation, and EU tensions. Orbán promptly conceded, ending his 16-year rule, with Magyar urging a swift transition to a caretaker government ahead of a May handover. This dominant trader consensus reflects the near-certainty of Orbán's pre-2027 exit, dwarfing low odds on stable incumbents like Putin or Xi. Realistic challenges include procedural delays in National Assembly convening or coalition snags, though Tisza's mandate minimizes such risks.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$4,484,364
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"अगला नेता 2027 से पहले सत्ता से बाहर हो जाएगा?" Polymarket पर 25 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, ओर्बान - हंगरी के प्रधानमंत्री 93% (93¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद ताकाइची - जापान प्रधानमंत्री 2% पर है।

आज तक, "अगला नेता 2027 से पहले सत्ता से बाहर हो जाएगा?" ने कुल $4.5 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 3, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"अगला नेता 2027 से पहले सत्ता से बाहर हो जाएगा?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 25 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"अगला नेता 2027 से पहले सत्ता से बाहर हो जाएगा?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "ओर्बान - हंगरी के प्रधानमंत्री" 93% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "ताकाइची - जापान प्रधानमंत्री" 2% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"अगला नेता 2027 से पहले सत्ता से बाहर हो जाएगा?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।