Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 65% implied probability against a Bank of Canada rate hike in 2026, driven by the central bank's steady policy rate at 2.25% since October 2025, with no changes in its January and March 2026 decisions amid cooling inflation and economic softness. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% annually—below the 2% target—supported by favorable base effects, while unemployment held at 6.7% in March and January GDP grew just 0.1% month-over-month, signaling subdued demand pressures. Rising oil prices have prompted some swap market bets on hikes, but Governing Council statements emphasize patience, with the next rate announcement and Monetary Policy Report due April 29 potentially reinforcing the hold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाBank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 65% implied probability against a Bank of Canada rate hike in 2026, driven by the central bank's steady policy rate at 2.25% since October 2025, with no changes in its January and March 2026 decisions amid cooling inflation and economic softness. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% annually—below the 2% target—supported by favorable base effects, while unemployment held at 6.7% in March and January GDP grew just 0.1% month-over-month, signaling subdued demand pressures. Rising oil prices have prompted some swap market bets on hikes, but Governing Council statements emphasize patience, with the next rate announcement and Monetary Policy Report due April 29 potentially reinforcing the hold.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,856समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 65% implied probability against a Bank of Canada rate hike in 2026, driven by the central bank's steady policy rate at 2.25% since October 2025, with no changes in its January and March 2026 decisions amid cooling inflation and economic softness. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% annually—below the 2% target—supported by favorable base effects, while unemployment held at 6.7% in March and January GDP grew just 0.1% month-over-month, signaling subdued demand pressures. Rising oil prices have prompted some swap market bets on hikes, but Governing Council statements emphasize patience, with the next rate announcement and Monetary Policy Report due April 29 potentially reinforcing the hold.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$4,856समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 65% implied probability against a Bank of Canada rate hike in 2026, driven by the central bank's steady policy rate at 2.25% since October 2025, with no changes in its January and March 2026 decisions amid cooling inflation and economic softness. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% annually—below the 2% target—supported by favorable base effects, while unemployment held at 6.7% in March and January GDP grew just 0.1% month-over-month, signaling subdued demand pressures. Rising oil prices have prompted some swap market bets on hikes, but Governing Council statements emphasize patience, with the next rate announcement and Monetary Policy Report due April 29 potentially reinforcing the hold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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