Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions and associated energy price shocks have pushed euro-area inflation expectations markedly higher, with headline HICP now projected around 2.7% for 2026—well above the ECB’s 2% target—and core measures also firming. The ECB held its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% in its April 2026 meeting, citing intensified upside inflation risks and signaling data-dependent readiness to tighten rather than ease. Economist surveys and market pricing now assign elevated odds to at least one 25-basis-point hike this year, most likely in June, amid resilient labor markets and second-round effects. This environment underpins the 86.5% trader consensus against any rate cut through year-end, with only a rapid de-escalation sharply lowering energy costs or unexpectedly soft data offering scope for easing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$28,250 वॉल्यूम
$28,250 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$28,250 वॉल्यूम
$28,250 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions and associated energy price shocks have pushed euro-area inflation expectations markedly higher, with headline HICP now projected around 2.7% for 2026—well above the ECB’s 2% target—and core measures also firming. The ECB held its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% in its April 2026 meeting, citing intensified upside inflation risks and signaling data-dependent readiness to tighten rather than ease. Economist surveys and market pricing now assign elevated odds to at least one 25-basis-point hike this year, most likely in June, amid resilient labor markets and second-round effects. This environment underpins the 86.5% trader consensus against any rate cut through year-end, with only a rapid de-escalation sharply lowering energy costs or unexpectedly soft data offering scope for easing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,250समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions and associated energy price shocks have pushed euro-area inflation expectations markedly higher, with headline HICP now projected around 2.7% for 2026—well above the ECB’s 2% target—and core measures also firming. The ECB held its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% in its April 2026 meeting, citing intensified upside inflation risks and signaling data-dependent readiness to tighten rather than ease. Economist surveys and market pricing now assign elevated odds to at least one 25-basis-point hike this year, most likely in June, amid resilient labor markets and second-round effects. This environment underpins the 86.5% trader consensus against any rate cut through year-end, with only a rapid de-escalation sharply lowering energy costs or unexpectedly soft data offering scope for easing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$28,250समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions and associated energy price shocks have pushed euro-area inflation expectations markedly higher, with headline HICP now projected around 2.7% for 2026—well above the ECB’s 2% target—and core measures also firming. The ECB held its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% in its April 2026 meeting, citing intensified upside inflation risks and signaling data-dependent readiness to tighten rather than ease. Economist surveys and market pricing now assign elevated odds to at least one 25-basis-point hike this year, most likely in June, amid resilient labor markets and second-round effects. This environment underpins the 86.5% trader consensus against any rate cut through year-end, with only a rapid de-escalation sharply lowering energy costs or unexpectedly soft data offering scope for easing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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