Pakistan's emergence as the trusted mediator has driven trader consensus to 88.5% odds for Islamabad hosting the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, following marathon direct talks there on April 11-12 that ended without a deal after 21 hours but marked the highest-level engagement in over a decade. US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi led delegations amid a fragile ceasefire, with no commitments on Iran's nuclear program or regional proxies. Pakistan's army chief Asim Munir's April 15 Tehran visit intensified shuttle diplomacy, securing White House praise as the sole effective broker for a second round likely soon, outpacing traditional neutrals like Switzerland (4.2%) or Turkey (2.9%). Traders see low risk of no meeting by June 30 (2.1%), given escalation pressures and mutual reliance on Pakistan's facilitation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका - ईरान की अगली राजनयिक बैठक कहाँ होगी?
अमेरिका - ईरान की अगली राजनयिक बैठक कहाँ होगी?
पाकिस्तान 89%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड 4.3%
तुर्की 2.9%
30 जून तक कोई बैठक नहीं 2.1%
$822,893 वॉल्यूम
$822,893 वॉल्यूम
पाकिस्तान
89%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड
4%
तुर्की
3%
30 जून तक कोई बैठक नहीं
2%
अन्य
1%
रूस
1%
कतर
<1%
अन्य - यूरोप
<1%
ओमान
<1%
ऑस्ट्रिया
<1%
मिस्र
<1%
यूएई
<1%
अन्य - मध्य पूर्व/उत्तर अफ्रीका
<1%
सऊदी अरब
<1%
ईरान
<1%
संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिका
<1%
इराक
<1%
कजाकिस्तान
<1%
इटली
<1%
पाकिस्तान 89%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड 4.3%
तुर्की 2.9%
30 जून तक कोई बैठक नहीं 2.1%
$822,893 वॉल्यूम
$822,893 वॉल्यूम
पाकिस्तान
89%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड
4%
तुर्की
3%
30 जून तक कोई बैठक नहीं
2%
अन्य
1%
रूस
1%
कतर
<1%
अन्य - यूरोप
<1%
ओमान
<1%
ऑस्ट्रिया
<1%
मिस्र
<1%
यूएई
<1%
अन्य - मध्य पूर्व/उत्तर अफ्रीका
<1%
सऊदी अरब
<1%
ईरान
<1%
संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिका
<1%
इराक
<1%
कजाकिस्तान
<1%
इटली
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan's emergence as the trusted mediator has driven trader consensus to 88.5% odds for Islamabad hosting the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, following marathon direct talks there on April 11-12 that ended without a deal after 21 hours but marked the highest-level engagement in over a decade. US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi led delegations amid a fragile ceasefire, with no commitments on Iran's nuclear program or regional proxies. Pakistan's army chief Asim Munir's April 15 Tehran visit intensified shuttle diplomacy, securing White House praise as the sole effective broker for a second round likely soon, outpacing traditional neutrals like Switzerland (4.2%) or Turkey (2.9%). Traders see low risk of no meeting by June 30 (2.1%), given escalation pressures and mutual reliance on Pakistan's facilitation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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