Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 96% against Iran sabotaging undersea internet cables by April 30, driven by the absence of any verified incidents or preparations despite late-March rumors of threats amid US-Iran war escalations in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea. Fact-checks have debunked official Iranian statements on targeting these critical infrastructures, which carry substantial global data traffic, while mutual dependency—Iran's own connectivity relies on the same cables—deters action. US naval presence, contingency rerouting by operators like Google and Meta, and recent diplomatic signals, such as UAE-Iran talks, further reduce risks with just two weeks remaining. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden military retaliation, Houthi proxy attacks, or IRGC submarine operations, though no such indicators have emerged in the past week.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या ईरान 30 अप्रैल तक समुद्र के नीचे इंटरनेट केबलों को तोड़फोड़ करेगा?
क्या ईरान 30 अप्रैल तक समुद्र के नीचे इंटरनेट केबलों को तोड़फोड़ करेगा?
हाँ
$88,472 वॉल्यूम
$88,472 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
हाँ
$88,472 वॉल्यूम
$88,472 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran or Iranian-aligned groups damage undersea internet cables between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only actions that cause physical damage to the undersea internet cable infrastructure, e.g., physical sabotage, such as cutting, dragging, or explosive attacks, will be considered. Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Qualifying incidents must occur in the region spanning the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Red Sea, including areas surrounding the Arabian Peninsula.
Attempted attacks that do not result in damage, or actions that are intercepted or fail to impact the cables, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Incidents which are broadly attributed to Iranian forces or Iranian-aligned groups will qualify regardless of the absence of definitive evidence or official Iranian denials.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 96% against Iran sabotaging undersea internet cables by April 30, driven by the absence of any verified incidents or preparations despite late-March rumors of threats amid US-Iran war escalations in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea. Fact-checks have debunked official Iranian statements on targeting these critical infrastructures, which carry substantial global data traffic, while mutual dependency—Iran's own connectivity relies on the same cables—deters action. US naval presence, contingency rerouting by operators like Google and Meta, and recent diplomatic signals, such as UAE-Iran talks, further reduce risks with just two weeks remaining. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden military retaliation, Houthi proxy attacks, or IRGC submarine operations, though no such indicators have emerged in the past week.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran or Iranian-aligned groups damage undersea internet cables between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only actions that cause physical damage to the undersea internet cable infrastructure, e.g., physical sabotage, such as cutting, dragging, or explosive attacks, will be considered. Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Qualifying incidents must occur in the region spanning the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Red Sea, including areas surrounding the Arabian Peninsula.
Attempted attacks that do not result in damage, or actions that are intercepted or fail to impact the cables, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Incidents which are broadly attributed to Iranian forces or Iranian-aligned groups will qualify regardless of the absence of definitive evidence or official Iranian denials.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only actions that cause physical damage to the undersea internet cable infrastructure, e.g., physical sabotage, such as cutting, dragging, or explosive attacks, will be considered. Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Qualifying incidents must occur in the region spanning the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Red Sea, including areas surrounding the Arabian Peninsula.
Attempted attacks that do not result in damage, or actions that are intercepted or fail to impact the cables, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Incidents which are broadly attributed to Iranian forces or Iranian-aligned groups will qualify regardless of the absence of definitive evidence or official Iranian denials.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 23, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$88,472समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran or Iranian-aligned groups damage undersea internet cables between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only actions that cause physical damage to the undersea internet cable infrastructure, e.g., physical sabotage, such as cutting, dragging, or explosive attacks, will be considered. Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Qualifying incidents must occur in the region spanning the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Red Sea, including areas surrounding the Arabian Peninsula.
Attempted attacks that do not result in damage, or actions that are intercepted or fail to impact the cables, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Incidents which are broadly attributed to Iranian forces or Iranian-aligned groups will qualify regardless of the absence of definitive evidence or official Iranian denials.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 96% against Iran sabotaging undersea internet cables by April 30, driven by the absence of any verified incidents or preparations despite late-March rumors of threats amid US-Iran war escalations in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea. Fact-checks have debunked official Iranian statements on targeting these critical infrastructures, which carry substantial global data traffic, while mutual dependency—Iran's own connectivity relies on the same cables—deters action. US naval presence, contingency rerouting by operators like Google and Meta, and recent diplomatic signals, such as UAE-Iran talks, further reduce risks with just two weeks remaining. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden military retaliation, Houthi proxy attacks, or IRGC submarine operations, though no such indicators have emerged in the past week.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran or Iranian-aligned groups damage undersea internet cables between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only actions that cause physical damage to the undersea internet cable infrastructure, e.g., physical sabotage, such as cutting, dragging, or explosive attacks, will be considered. Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Qualifying incidents must occur in the region spanning the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Red Sea, including areas surrounding the Arabian Peninsula.
Attempted attacks that do not result in damage, or actions that are intercepted or fail to impact the cables, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Incidents which are broadly attributed to Iranian forces or Iranian-aligned groups will qualify regardless of the absence of definitive evidence or official Iranian denials.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only actions that cause physical damage to the undersea internet cable infrastructure, e.g., physical sabotage, such as cutting, dragging, or explosive attacks, will be considered. Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Qualifying incidents must occur in the region spanning the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Red Sea, including areas surrounding the Arabian Peninsula.
Attempted attacks that do not result in damage, or actions that are intercepted or fail to impact the cables, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Incidents which are broadly attributed to Iranian forces or Iranian-aligned groups will qualify regardless of the absence of definitive evidence or official Iranian denials.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$88,472समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 96% against Iran sabotaging undersea internet cables by April 30, driven by the absence of any verified incidents or preparations despite late-March rumors of threats amid US-Iran war escalations in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea. Fact-checks have debunked official Iranian statements on targeting these critical infrastructures, which carry substantial global data traffic, while mutual dependency—Iran's own connectivity relies on the same cables—deters action. US naval presence, contingency rerouting by operators like Google and Meta, and recent diplomatic signals, such as UAE-Iran talks, further reduce risks with just two weeks remaining. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden military retaliation, Houthi proxy attacks, or IRGC submarine operations, though no such indicators have emerged in the past week.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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