Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with a high probability of thunderstorms and rain on September 14, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and easterly steering winds. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daily maxima near 31–34°C rather than the September climatological average of 33–34°C. High humidity levels above 70% and dew points near 26–27°C further constrain peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 32°C as the most likely outcome, consistent with the latest model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-monsoon setups. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon observations on September 13–14 will provide the key data for final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
32°C 39%
31°C 29%
33°C 21%
29°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
11%
31°C
29%
32°C
39%
33°C
21%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
9%
32°C 39%
31°C 29%
33°C 21%
29°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$5 Vol.
11%
31°C
$7 Vol.
29%
32°C
$11 Vol.
39%
33°C
$44 Vol.
21%
34°C
$0 Vol.
7%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with a high probability of thunderstorms and rain on September 14, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and easterly steering winds. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daily maxima near 31–34°C rather than the September climatological average of 33–34°C. High humidity levels above 70% and dew points near 26–27°C further constrain peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 32°C as the most likely outcome, consistent with the latest model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-monsoon setups. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon observations on September 13–14 will provide the key data for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$66Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with a high probability of thunderstorms and rain on September 14, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and easterly steering winds. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daily maxima near 31–34°C rather than the September climatological average of 33–34°C. High humidity levels above 70% and dew points near 26–27°C further constrain peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 32°C as the most likely outcome, consistent with the latest model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-monsoon setups. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon observations on September 13–14 will provide the key data for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$66Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with a high probability of thunderstorms and rain on September 14, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and easterly steering winds. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daily maxima near 31–34°C rather than the September climatological average of 33–34°C. High humidity levels above 70% and dew points near 26–27°C further constrain peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 32°C as the most likely outcome, consistent with the latest model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-monsoon setups. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon observations on September 13–14 will provide the key data for final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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