Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models project a peak temperature of 35–36°C in Madrid on September 15 under clear skies and light southwesterly winds, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting intense solar heating and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 36°C (53.5% implied probability) over 35°C (32.5%), as daytime maxima are expected near 5 pm local time amid dry conditions typical of early autumn. Historical September 15 highs average 26.6°C with a record of 34.3°C, but the current warm anomaly and lack of precipitation support elevated readings before cooler air arrives Wednesday. Model consensus remains stable ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on September 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 15?
36°C 55%
35°C 32%
37°C 10%
34°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
32%
36°C
55%
37°C
10%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 55%
35°C 32%
37°C 10%
34°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
31°C or below
$123 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$117 Vol.
1%
33°C
$103 Vol.
1%
34°C
$360 Vol.
4%
35°C
$1,242 Vol.
32%
36°C
$1,018 Vol.
55%
37°C
$1,083 Vol.
10%
38°C
$163 Vol.
1%
39°C
$106 Vol.
1%
40°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$174 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models project a peak temperature of 35–36°C in Madrid on September 15 under clear skies and light southwesterly winds, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting intense solar heating and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 36°C (53.5% implied probability) over 35°C (32.5%), as daytime maxima are expected near 5 pm local time amid dry conditions typical of early autumn. Historical September 15 highs average 26.6°C with a record of 34.3°C, but the current warm anomaly and lack of precipitation support elevated readings before cooler air arrives Wednesday. Model consensus remains stable ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,613Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models project a peak temperature of 35–36°C in Madrid on September 15 under clear skies and light southwesterly winds, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting intense solar heating and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 36°C (53.5% implied probability) over 35°C (32.5%), as daytime maxima are expected near 5 pm local time amid dry conditions typical of early autumn. Historical September 15 highs average 26.6°C with a record of 34.3°C, but the current warm anomaly and lack of precipitation support elevated readings before cooler air arrives Wednesday. Model consensus remains stable ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,613Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models project a peak temperature of 35–36°C in Madrid on September 15 under clear skies and light southwesterly winds, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting intense solar heating and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 36°C (53.5% implied probability) over 35°C (32.5%), as daytime maxima are expected near 5 pm local time amid dry conditions typical of early autumn. Historical September 15 highs average 26.6°C with a record of 34.3°C, but the current warm anomaly and lack of precipitation support elevated readings before cooler air arrives Wednesday. Model consensus remains stable ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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