Current forecasts from models including ECMWF and Met Office consensus point to an overnight low of 16–17°C in Amsterdam on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and showers that limit radiational cooling overnight. These conditions suppress the potential for clearer skies or lighter winds that could allow temperatures to dip toward the long-term average low of 12.5°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 16–18°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected clearing or downside from heavier rain. Historical analogs from recent warmer-than-average August nights reinforce the mild bias.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
16°C 31%
17°C 31%
18°C 27%
23°C or higher 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
9%
14°C
8%
15°C
10%
16°C
31%
17°C
31%
18°C
27%
19°C
9%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
12%
16°C 31%
17°C 31%
18°C 27%
23°C or higher 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
$10 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
8%
15°C
$0 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
31%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$20 Vol.
8%
21°C
$10 Vol.
8%
22°C
$5 Vol.
8%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including ECMWF and Met Office consensus point to an overnight low of 16–17°C in Amsterdam on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and showers that limit radiational cooling overnight. These conditions suppress the potential for clearer skies or lighter winds that could allow temperatures to dip toward the long-term average low of 12.5°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 16–18°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected clearing or downside from heavier rain. Historical analogs from recent warmer-than-average August nights reinforce the mild bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$50Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including ECMWF and Met Office consensus point to an overnight low of 16–17°C in Amsterdam on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and showers that limit radiational cooling overnight. These conditions suppress the potential for clearer skies or lighter winds that could allow temperatures to dip toward the long-term average low of 12.5°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 16–18°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected clearing or downside from heavier rain. Historical analogs from recent warmer-than-average August nights reinforce the mild bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models including ECMWF and Met Office consensus point to an overnight low of 16–17°C in Amsterdam on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and showers that limit radiational cooling overnight. These conditions suppress the potential for clearer skies or lighter winds that could allow temperatures to dip toward the long-term average low of 12.5°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 16–18°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected clearing or downside from heavier rain. Historical analogs from recent warmer-than-average August nights reinforce the mild bias.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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