Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus pointed to limited overnight radiational cooling in Austin on August 28, 2026, with a minimum temperature of 76°F observed at Bergstrom International Airport amid high humidity, southerly flow, and residual moisture from scattered afternoon thunderstorms. This setup, typical of late-summer conditions with average lows near 72°F but elevated by urban heat effects and weak pressure gradients, positioned the 74-75°F bin as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Cooler outcomes below 70°F carried meaningful weight only if stronger clear-sky cooling or a frontal passage materialized, scenarios models largely discounted given persistent warm advection.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Austin on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 28?
74-75°F 51%
69°F or below 43%
72-73°F 14%
76-77°F <1%
$1,203 Vol.
$1,203 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
69°F or below
43%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
51%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 51%
69°F or below 43%
72-73°F 14%
76-77°F <1%
$1,203 Vol.
$1,203 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
69°F or below
$48 Vol.
43%
70-71°F
$11 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$84 Vol.
14%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
51%
76-77°F
$669 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$94 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$66 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$63 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$56 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$55 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$55 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus pointed to limited overnight radiational cooling in Austin on August 28, 2026, with a minimum temperature of 76°F observed at Bergstrom International Airport amid high humidity, southerly flow, and residual moisture from scattered afternoon thunderstorms. This setup, typical of late-summer conditions with average lows near 72°F but elevated by urban heat effects and weak pressure gradients, positioned the 74-75°F bin as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Cooler outcomes below 70°F carried meaningful weight only if stronger clear-sky cooling or a frontal passage materialized, scenarios models largely discounted given persistent warm advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,203Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus pointed to limited overnight radiational cooling in Austin on August 28, 2026, with a minimum temperature of 76°F observed at Bergstrom International Airport amid high humidity, southerly flow, and residual moisture from scattered afternoon thunderstorms. This setup, typical of late-summer conditions with average lows near 72°F but elevated by urban heat effects and weak pressure gradients, positioned the 74-75°F bin as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Cooler outcomes below 70°F carried meaningful weight only if stronger clear-sky cooling or a frontal passage materialized, scenarios models largely discounted given persistent warm advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,203Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus pointed to limited overnight radiational cooling in Austin on August 28, 2026, with a minimum temperature of 76°F observed at Bergstrom International Airport amid high humidity, southerly flow, and residual moisture from scattered afternoon thunderstorms. This setup, typical of late-summer conditions with average lows near 72°F but elevated by urban heat effects and weak pressure gradients, positioned the 74-75°F bin as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Cooler outcomes below 70°F carried meaningful weight only if stronger clear-sky cooling or a frontal passage materialized, scenarios models largely discounted given persistent warm advection.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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