Recent heavy rainfall and associated cold air advection across Chongqing have driven the market's emphasis on cooler overnight lows for August 30, with official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance projecting minimum temperatures of 20–24°C amid lingering cloud cover and showers. This cooling follows days of extreme heat exceeding 37–40°C, as the system disrupts the subtropical high and introduces northerly flow. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional forecasts points to early-morning readings in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, though localized radiative cooling under clearing skies could push select stations lower. Traders assign the highest implied probability (46%) to 19°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing of clearing and the strength of post-frontal stabilization ahead of the next model update cycle.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
19°C or below 92%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
21°C 27%
19°C or below
92%
20°C
49%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
49%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
17%
19°C or below 92%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
21°C 27%
19°C or below
92%
20°C
49%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
49%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and associated cold air advection across Chongqing have driven the market's emphasis on cooler overnight lows for August 30, with official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance projecting minimum temperatures of 20–24°C amid lingering cloud cover and showers. This cooling follows days of extreme heat exceeding 37–40°C, as the system disrupts the subtropical high and introduces northerly flow. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional forecasts points to early-morning readings in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, though localized radiative cooling under clearing skies could push select stations lower. Traders assign the highest implied probability (46%) to 19°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing of clearing and the strength of post-frontal stabilization ahead of the next model update cycle.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan