**Trader sentiment for Jinan’s September 12 low temperature reflects genuine forecast uncertainty between 15 °C and cooler readings.** Current conditions show partly cloudy skies, southerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and dew points near 15–17 °C, which moderate radiative cooling overnight. Model runs differ on the degree of clear-sky cooling versus residual cloud cover and weak warm advection, producing a tight distribution around the 12–15 °C range rather than a single consensus value. Historical September minimums average near 18 °C, so the market-implied odds capture the potential for an unusually cool night driven by local boundary-layer dynamics and measurement at the official station. Fresh observational data or final China Meteorological Administration verification could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Jinan on September 12?
13°C 4%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$554 Vol.
$554 Vol.
12°C or below
-
13°C
4%
14°C
<1%
15°C
-
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
13°C 4%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$554 Vol.
$554 Vol.
12°C or below
-
13°C
4%
14°C
<1%
15°C
-
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Jinan’s September 12 low temperature reflects genuine forecast uncertainty between 15 °C and cooler readings.** Current conditions show partly cloudy skies, southerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and dew points near 15–17 °C, which moderate radiative cooling overnight. Model runs differ on the degree of clear-sky cooling versus residual cloud cover and weak warm advection, producing a tight distribution around the 12–15 °C range rather than a single consensus value. Historical September minimums average near 18 °C, so the market-implied odds capture the potential for an unusually cool night driven by local boundary-layer dynamics and measurement at the official station. Fresh observational data or final China Meteorological Administration verification could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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