Current forecast consensus from the Met Office and numerical models points to a London minimum near 12–13°C overnight into September 25, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling under high pressure. Dew points hovering around 11–12°C limit further drops, while the absence of strong advection or cloud cover keeps temperatures from diverging sharply from this range. Historical September lows average near 11–12°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing minor variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact clearing timing, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations from central London stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on September 25?
Lowest temperature in London on September 25?
13°C 38%
12°C 30%
14°C 29%
9°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
8°C or below
7%
9°C
11%
10°C
11%
11°C
7%
12°C
30%
13°C
38%
14°C
29%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 38%
12°C 30%
14°C 29%
9°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
7%
9°C
$0 Vol.
11%
10°C
$0 Vol.
11%
11°C
$40 Vol.
7%
12°C
$283 Vol.
30%
13°C
$412 Vol.
38%
14°C
$24 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
3%
16°C
$0 Vol.
5%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Met Office and numerical models points to a London minimum near 12–13°C overnight into September 25, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling under high pressure. Dew points hovering around 11–12°C limit further drops, while the absence of strong advection or cloud cover keeps temperatures from diverging sharply from this range. Historical September lows average near 11–12°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing minor variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact clearing timing, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations from central London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$760Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Met Office and numerical models points to a London minimum near 12–13°C overnight into September 25, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling under high pressure. Dew points hovering around 11–12°C limit further drops, while the absence of strong advection or cloud cover keeps temperatures from diverging sharply from this range. Historical September lows average near 11–12°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing minor variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact clearing timing, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations from central London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$760Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47de9d...Current forecast consensus from the Met Office and numerical models points to a London minimum near 12–13°C overnight into September 25, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling under high pressure. Dew points hovering around 11–12°C limit further drops, while the absence of strong advection or cloud cover keeps temperatures from diverging sharply from this range. Historical September lows average near 11–12°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing minor variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact clearing timing, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations from central London stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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