Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Incheon on August 30, which suppress radiative cooling overnight and anchor minimum temperatures near 22–24 °C. High humidity levels above 80 % combined with light variable winds further reduce the diurnal temperature range, creating tight market-implied odds between 23 °C and 24 °C. Historical August baselines for the region average overnight lows around 23 °C, and current model runs show minimal spread in the timing of any clearing that could allow deeper cooling. Updated guidance from the Incheon Aerodrome Forecast explicitly lists a 22 °C minimum, while ensemble consensus favors values clustered around 23 °C, explaining trader focus on these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
24°C 45%
23°C 44%
25°C 8%
22°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
44%
24°C
45%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 45%
23°C 44%
25°C 8%
22°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
$61 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$108 Vol.
2%
21°C
$108 Vol.
4%
22°C
$327 Vol.
4%
23°C
$205 Vol.
44%
24°C
$729 Vol.
45%
25°C
$105 Vol.
8%
26°C
$56 Vol.
2%
27°C
$15 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$1,694 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Incheon on August 30, which suppress radiative cooling overnight and anchor minimum temperatures near 22–24 °C. High humidity levels above 80 % combined with light variable winds further reduce the diurnal temperature range, creating tight market-implied odds between 23 °C and 24 °C. Historical August baselines for the region average overnight lows around 23 °C, and current model runs show minimal spread in the timing of any clearing that could allow deeper cooling. Updated guidance from the Incheon Aerodrome Forecast explicitly lists a 22 °C minimum, while ensemble consensus favors values clustered around 23 °C, explaining trader focus on these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,272Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Incheon on August 30, which suppress radiative cooling overnight and anchor minimum temperatures near 22–24 °C. High humidity levels above 80 % combined with light variable winds further reduce the diurnal temperature range, creating tight market-implied odds between 23 °C and 24 °C. Historical August baselines for the region average overnight lows around 23 °C, and current model runs show minimal spread in the timing of any clearing that could allow deeper cooling. Updated guidance from the Incheon Aerodrome Forecast explicitly lists a 22 °C minimum, while ensemble consensus favors values clustered around 23 °C, explaining trader focus on these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,272Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Incheon on August 30, which suppress radiative cooling overnight and anchor minimum temperatures near 22–24 °C. High humidity levels above 80 % combined with light variable winds further reduce the diurnal temperature range, creating tight market-implied odds between 23 °C and 24 °C. Historical August baselines for the region average overnight lows around 23 °C, and current model runs show minimal spread in the timing of any clearing that could allow deeper cooling. Updated guidance from the Incheon Aerodrome Forecast explicitly lists a 22 °C minimum, while ensemble consensus favors values clustered around 23 °C, explaining trader focus on these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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