Persistent easterly flow and elevated humidity across the Pearl River Delta are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling for Shenzhen on September 13, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 25°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences how much the boundary layer cools before dawn; heavier or more prolonged precipitation would favor readings around 24–26°C, while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 23°C. Historical September climatology places typical minimums near 24°C, providing context for the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered between 26°C and 27°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers later today will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13?
21°C or below 54%
31°C or higher 52%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
54%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
32%
28°C
39%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
52%
21°C or below 54%
31°C or higher 52%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
54%
22°C
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
32%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and elevated humidity across the Pearl River Delta are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling for Shenzhen on September 13, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 25°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences how much the boundary layer cools before dawn; heavier or more prolonged precipitation would favor readings around 24–26°C, while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 23°C. Historical September climatology places typical minimums near 24°C, providing context for the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered between 26°C and 27°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers later today will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and elevated humidity across the Pearl River Delta are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling for Shenzhen on September 13, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 25°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences how much the boundary layer cools before dawn; heavier or more prolonged precipitation would favor readings around 24–26°C, while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 23°C. Historical September climatology places typical minimums near 24°C, providing context for the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered between 26°C and 27°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers later today will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent easterly flow and elevated humidity across the Pearl River Delta are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling for Shenzhen on September 13, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 25°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences how much the boundary layer cools before dawn; heavier or more prolonged precipitation would favor readings around 24–26°C, while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 23°C. Historical September climatology places typical minimums near 24°C, providing context for the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered between 26°C and 27°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers later today will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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