Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild overnight minimum near 10–12°C for Wellington on September 2 under strong northwesterly flow, with limited radiative cooling from cloud cover and warm advection. This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around the 8–10°C outcomes, as traders weigh small variations in model guidance on wind strength and timing of any showers. Seasonal El Niño conditions contribute to above-average temperatures relative to climatology, while Wellington’s topography can produce localized differences of 1–2°C between airport and urban sites. Updated model runs and official minimum observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
7°C or below
-
8°C
48%
9°C
48%
10°C
49%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
7°C or below
$51 Vol.
-
8°C
$11 Vol.
48%
9°C
$10 Vol.
48%
10°C
$10 Vol.
49%
11°C
$303 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$234 Vol.
1%
14°C
$86 Vol.
1%
15°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild overnight minimum near 10–12°C for Wellington on September 2 under strong northwesterly flow, with limited radiative cooling from cloud cover and warm advection. This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around the 8–10°C outcomes, as traders weigh small variations in model guidance on wind strength and timing of any showers. Seasonal El Niño conditions contribute to above-average temperatures relative to climatology, while Wellington’s topography can produce localized differences of 1–2°C between airport and urban sites. Updated model runs and official minimum observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,387Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild overnight minimum near 10–12°C for Wellington on September 2 under strong northwesterly flow, with limited radiative cooling from cloud cover and warm advection. This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around the 8–10°C outcomes, as traders weigh small variations in model guidance on wind strength and timing of any showers. Seasonal El Niño conditions contribute to above-average temperatures relative to climatology, while Wellington’s topography can produce localized differences of 1–2°C between airport and urban sites. Updated model runs and official minimum observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,387Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild overnight minimum near 10–12°C for Wellington on September 2 under strong northwesterly flow, with limited radiative cooling from cloud cover and warm advection. This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around the 8–10°C outcomes, as traders weigh small variations in model guidance on wind strength and timing of any showers. Seasonal El Niño conditions contribute to above-average temperatures relative to climatology, while Wellington’s topography can produce localized differences of 1–2°C between airport and urban sites. Updated model runs and official minimum observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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