Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.5% market consensus for the Democratic Party. Min advanced from the June primary with a plurality of votes and faces Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux in the top-two matchup. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district's partisan lean, recent presidential results favoring Democrats, and structural advantages of incumbency in this Orange County coastal area. Traders price in limited prospects for a Republican flip absent major late-cycle shifts such as national political realignments, candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
$12,737 Vol.
$12,737 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$12,737 Vol.
$12,737 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$1,861 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$10,876 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.5% market consensus for the Democratic Party. Min advanced from the June primary with a plurality of votes and faces Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux in the top-two matchup. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district's partisan lean, recent presidential results favoring Democrats, and structural advantages of incumbency in this Orange County coastal area. Traders price in limited prospects for a Republican flip absent major late-cycle shifts such as national political realignments, candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,737Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.5% market consensus for the Democratic Party. Min advanced from the June primary with a plurality of votes and faces Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux in the top-two matchup. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district's partisan lean, recent presidential results favoring Democrats, and structural advantages of incumbency in this Orange County coastal area. Traders price in limited prospects for a Republican flip absent major late-cycle shifts such as national political realignments, candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,737Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.5% market consensus for the Democratic Party. Min advanced from the June primary with a plurality of votes and faces Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux in the top-two matchup. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district's partisan lean, recent presidential results favoring Democrats, and structural advantages of incumbency in this Orange County coastal area. Traders price in limited prospects for a Republican flip absent major late-cycle shifts such as national political realignments, candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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