Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors DISY at 63.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting expectations of slight vote consolidation among the 25% undecided voters identified in early April polls, despite statistical ties with AKEL around 16-18% in recent Phileleftheros and Noverna surveys. High fragmentation—ELAM at 10%, ALMA and DIKO below 10%, others like EDEK, Volt, and KOSP in low single digits—bolsters the top two's dominance under proportional representation, with DISY benefiting from historical incumbency as 2021's plurality winner and center-right appeal on economy and Cyprus problem issues. No major shifts in the past week, but voter turnout and final undecided flows remain pivotal amid likely hung parliament scenarios.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni alla Camera dei Rappresentanti di Cipro
Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera dei Rappresentanti di Cipro
DISY 64%
AKEL 29%
EDEK 3.1%
VOLT 2.6%
$11,163 Vol.
$11,163 Vol.
DISY
64%
AKEL
29%
EDEK
3%
VOLT
3%
KOSP
1%
DIKO
1%
DNM (DEK)
1%
DIPA
1%
ELAM
<1%
DISY 64%
AKEL 29%
EDEK 3.1%
VOLT 2.6%
$11,163 Vol.
$11,163 Vol.
DISY
64%
AKEL
29%
EDEK
3%
VOLT
3%
KOSP
1%
DIKO
1%
DNM (DEK)
1%
DIPA
1%
ELAM
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Mercato aperto: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors DISY at 63.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting expectations of slight vote consolidation among the 25% undecided voters identified in early April polls, despite statistical ties with AKEL around 16-18% in recent Phileleftheros and Noverna surveys. High fragmentation—ELAM at 10%, ALMA and DIKO below 10%, others like EDEK, Volt, and KOSP in low single digits—bolsters the top two's dominance under proportional representation, with DISY benefiting from historical incumbency as 2021's plurality winner and center-right appeal on economy and Cyprus problem issues. No major shifts in the past week, but voter turnout and final undecided flows remain pivotal amid likely hung parliament scenarios.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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