Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk's net worth landing above $670 billion (29%) or in the $640-670 billion range, per Bloomberg Billionaires Index methodology that traders anticipate for resolution, reflecting conservative SpaceX valuations despite April 1 IPO filing news boosting his stake by $16 billion to $636 billion as of early April. Tesla's stock volatility—down sharply year-to-date after Q1 delivery misses on April 2, yet rebounding to $364 by April 14—fuels the wide spread, as Musk's ~13% ownership equates to roughly $200 billion exposure. Upcoming Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the pivotal catalyst, with analysts citing EV demand weakness and competition as downside risks amid Robotaxi hype, while SpaceX's $1.75 trillion IPO target offers upside potential before April 30 close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPatrimonio netto di Elon Musk il 30 aprile?
Patrimonio netto di Elon Musk il 30 aprile?
670 miliardi+ 30%
650-660 mld 13%
630-640 mld 13%
640-650 miliardi 12%
$54,617 Vol.
$54,617 Vol.
<600 miliardi
9%
600-610 miliardi
8%
610-620 miliardi
8%
620-630 miliardi
11%
630-640 mld
13%
640-650 miliardi
12%
650-660 mld
13%
660-670 miliardi
10%
670 miliardi+
30%
670 miliardi+ 30%
650-660 mld 13%
630-640 mld 13%
640-650 miliardi 12%
$54,617 Vol.
$54,617 Vol.
<600 miliardi
9%
600-610 miliardi
8%
610-620 miliardi
8%
620-630 miliardi
11%
630-640 mld
13%
640-650 miliardi
12%
650-660 mld
13%
660-670 miliardi
10%
670 miliardi+
30%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk's net worth landing above $670 billion (29%) or in the $640-670 billion range, per Bloomberg Billionaires Index methodology that traders anticipate for resolution, reflecting conservative SpaceX valuations despite April 1 IPO filing news boosting his stake by $16 billion to $636 billion as of early April. Tesla's stock volatility—down sharply year-to-date after Q1 delivery misses on April 2, yet rebounding to $364 by April 14—fuels the wide spread, as Musk's ~13% ownership equates to roughly $200 billion exposure. Upcoming Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the pivotal catalyst, with analysts citing EV demand weakness and competition as downside risks amid Robotaxi hype, while SpaceX's $1.75 trillion IPO target offers upside potential before April 30 close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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