Erdoğan’s current constitutional term as president extends through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028. Recent statements from the president and AKP actions signal preparation for an early vote or constitutional steps to enable another candidacy, while legal proceedings have sidelined key opposition figures such as Ekrem İmamoğlu and fragmented the CHP into a new splinter party. AKP gains of mayoral positions and parliamentary defections from opposition ranks further consolidate the ruling coalition’s position ahead of any contest. No verified health, resignation, or institutional developments point to an exit before year-end 2026, aligning trader consensus on continuity through the period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoErdoğan uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Erdoğan uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
7% probabilità
$636,501 Vol.
$636,501 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Guadagna il 3.25%
Sì
7% probabilità
$636,501 Vol.
$636,501 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Guadagna il 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan’s current constitutional term as president extends through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028. Recent statements from the president and AKP actions signal preparation for an early vote or constitutional steps to enable another candidacy, while legal proceedings have sidelined key opposition figures such as Ekrem İmamoğlu and fragmented the CHP into a new splinter party. AKP gains of mayoral positions and parliamentary defections from opposition ranks further consolidate the ruling coalition’s position ahead of any contest. No verified health, resignation, or institutional developments point to an exit before year-end 2026, aligning trader consensus on continuity through the period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$636,501Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan’s current constitutional term as president extends through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028. Recent statements from the president and AKP actions signal preparation for an early vote or constitutional steps to enable another candidacy, while legal proceedings have sidelined key opposition figures such as Ekrem İmamoğlu and fragmented the CHP into a new splinter party. AKP gains of mayoral positions and parliamentary defections from opposition ranks further consolidate the ruling coalition’s position ahead of any contest. No verified health, resignation, or institutional developments point to an exit before year-end 2026, aligning trader consensus on continuity through the period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$636,501Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...Erdoğan’s current constitutional term as president extends through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028. Recent statements from the president and AKP actions signal preparation for an early vote or constitutional steps to enable another candidacy, while legal proceedings have sidelined key opposition figures such as Ekrem İmamoğlu and fragmented the CHP into a new splinter party. AKP gains of mayoral positions and parliamentary defections from opposition ranks further consolidate the ruling coalition’s position ahead of any contest. No verified health, resignation, or institutional developments point to an exit before year-end 2026, aligning trader consensus on continuity through the period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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