Recent China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts peg Guangzhou's April 17 high at 27°C under heavy rain and thundershowers, capping solar insolation amid persistent cloud cover from a moist southerly flow, while global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a 1-2°C spread—some runs with delayed precipitation allowing brief clearing for 29°C peaks, others with overcast skies limiting to 26°C or below. This model divergence, combined with urban heat island effects and typical April baseline highs near 27°C, fuels trader uncertainty, with market-implied odds closely split as skin-in-the-game consensus awaits morning soundings and hourly observations to resolve timing of peak heating versus rain onset. New 00Z model updates overnight could shift probabilities further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
26°C or below 35%
27°C 20%
29°C 20%
28°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
26°C or below
31%
27°C
22%
28°C
20%
29°C
26%
30°C
10%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
26°C or below 35%
27°C 20%
29°C 20%
28°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
26°C or below
$271 Vol.
31%
27°C
$146 Vol.
22%
28°C
$150 Vol.
20%
29°C
$144 Vol.
26%
30°C
$266 Vol.
10%
31°C
$136 Vol.
11%
32°C
$437 Vol.
2%
33°C
$403 Vol.
2%
34°C
$1,536 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,630 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,257 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts peg Guangzhou's April 17 high at 27°C under heavy rain and thundershowers, capping solar insolation amid persistent cloud cover from a moist southerly flow, while global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a 1-2°C spread—some runs with delayed precipitation allowing brief clearing for 29°C peaks, others with overcast skies limiting to 26°C or below. This model divergence, combined with urban heat island effects and typical April baseline highs near 27°C, fuels trader uncertainty, with market-implied odds closely split as skin-in-the-game consensus awaits morning soundings and hourly observations to resolve timing of peak heating versus rain onset. New 00Z model updates overnight could shift probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$6,320Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts peg Guangzhou's April 17 high at 27°C under heavy rain and thundershowers, capping solar insolation amid persistent cloud cover from a moist southerly flow, while global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a 1-2°C spread—some runs with delayed precipitation allowing brief clearing for 29°C peaks, others with overcast skies limiting to 26°C or below. This model divergence, combined with urban heat island effects and typical April baseline highs near 27°C, fuels trader uncertainty, with market-implied odds closely split as skin-in-the-game consensus awaits morning soundings and hourly observations to resolve timing of peak heating versus rain onset. New 00Z model updates overnight could shift probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,320Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts peg Guangzhou's April 17 high at 27°C under heavy rain and thundershowers, capping solar insolation amid persistent cloud cover from a moist southerly flow, while global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a 1-2°C spread—some runs with delayed precipitation allowing brief clearing for 29°C peaks, others with overcast skies limiting to 26°C or below. This model divergence, combined with urban heat island effects and typical April baseline highs near 27°C, fuels trader uncertainty, with market-implied odds closely split as skin-in-the-game consensus awaits morning soundings and hourly observations to resolve timing of peak heating versus rain onset. New 00Z model updates overnight could shift probabilities further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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