Recent forecasts for Lucknow show daytime maxima fluctuating between 30–36°C amid the monsoon’s gradual withdrawal, with official Indian Meteorological Department guidance and multiple models indicating partly cloudy conditions and a 30–50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on September 23. This spread produces closely matched market-implied odds because small differences in cloud cover, humidity, and incoming solar radiation can shift peak temperatures by several degrees through competing effects of reduced insolation versus latent-heat release. Recent observations of 34–36°C highs under mostly clear skies have kept the upper end viable, while increasing easterly moisture and convective activity introduce downside risk, leaving resolution dependent on the precise timing and intensity of any showers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 23 settembre?
32°C 40%
30°C 39%
31°C 39%
34°C 39%
28°C o inferiore
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C
40%
33°C
34%
34°C
39%
35°C
23%
36°C
39%
37°C
39%
38°C o superiore
4%
32°C 40%
30°C 39%
31°C 39%
34°C 39%
28°C o inferiore
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C
40%
33°C
34%
34°C
39%
35°C
23%
36°C
39%
37°C
39%
38°C o superiore
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Lucknow show daytime maxima fluctuating between 30–36°C amid the monsoon’s gradual withdrawal, with official Indian Meteorological Department guidance and multiple models indicating partly cloudy conditions and a 30–50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on September 23. This spread produces closely matched market-implied odds because small differences in cloud cover, humidity, and incoming solar radiation can shift peak temperatures by several degrees through competing effects of reduced insolation versus latent-heat release. Recent observations of 34–36°C highs under mostly clear skies have kept the upper end viable, while increasing easterly moisture and convective activity introduce downside risk, leaving resolution dependent on the precise timing and intensity of any showers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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