Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a peak temperature near 29–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 23, driven by stable synoptic conditions with moderate northwest winds advecting maritime air and partial cloud cover limiting extreme diurnal heating. This aligns with climatological norms around 29°C for late September, where typical highs range 28–30°C absent strong high-pressure anomalies. Trader consensus splits closely between 30°C and 31°C implied probabilities because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, or model bias could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow remaining uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 23 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 23 settembre?
30°C 51%
31°C 40%
29°C 9%
32°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
9%
30°C
51%
31°C
40%
32°C
5%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 51%
31°C 40%
29°C 9%
32°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$798 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$15 Vol.
51%
31°C
$11 Vol.
40%
32°C
$10 Vol.
5%
33°C
$0 Vol.
5%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a peak temperature near 29–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 23, driven by stable synoptic conditions with moderate northwest winds advecting maritime air and partial cloud cover limiting extreme diurnal heating. This aligns with climatological norms around 29°C for late September, where typical highs range 28–30°C absent strong high-pressure anomalies. Trader consensus splits closely between 30°C and 31°C implied probabilities because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, or model bias could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow remaining uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$834Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a peak temperature near 29–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 23, driven by stable synoptic conditions with moderate northwest winds advecting maritime air and partial cloud cover limiting extreme diurnal heating. This aligns with climatological norms around 29°C for late September, where typical highs range 28–30°C absent strong high-pressure anomalies. Trader consensus splits closely between 30°C and 31°C implied probabilities because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, or model bias could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow remaining uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$834Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a peak temperature near 29–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 23, driven by stable synoptic conditions with moderate northwest winds advecting maritime air and partial cloud cover limiting extreme diurnal heating. This aligns with climatological norms around 29°C for late September, where typical highs range 28–30°C absent strong high-pressure anomalies. Trader consensus splits closely between 30°C and 31°C implied probabilities because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, or model bias could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow remaining uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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