**Forecast consensus for Wellington on August 6 points to a daytime maximum near 10–11°C**, driven by a clearing southerly flow following recent showers and gale-force winds. Official MetService guidance lists a 10°C high with partly cloudy skies and light winds after early frost risk, while some international models edge toward 11°C under increased solar heating as cloud breaks. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and strong maritime influence amplify small differences in wind direction, cloud cover, and timing of clearance—factors that separate 10°C from 11°C outcomes in winter. Near-average seasonal temperatures from NIWA outlooks align with this range, and traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and MetService updates most heavily as the market resolution window approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 6 agosto?
11°C 54%
10°C 37%
12°C 10%
9°C 3%
NUOVO
$36,014 Vol.
NUOVO
$36,014 Vol.
6 ago 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
37%
11°C
54%
12°C
10%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 54%
10°C 37%
12°C 10%
9°C 3%
NUOVO
$36,014 Vol.
NUOVO
$36,014 Vol.
6 ago 2026
5°C or below
$373 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,103 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$581 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$2,162 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$4,921 Vol.
3%
10°C
$4,989 Vol.
37%
11°C
$6,809 Vol.
54%
12°C
$5,771 Vol.
10%
13°C
$7,380 Vol.
1%
14°C
$577 Vol.
1%
15°C or higher
$1,347 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Wellington on August 6 points to a daytime maximum near 10–11°C**, driven by a clearing southerly flow following recent showers and gale-force winds. Official MetService guidance lists a 10°C high with partly cloudy skies and light winds after early frost risk, while some international models edge toward 11°C under increased solar heating as cloud breaks. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and strong maritime influence amplify small differences in wind direction, cloud cover, and timing of clearance—factors that separate 10°C from 11°C outcomes in winter. Near-average seasonal temperatures from NIWA outlooks align with this range, and traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and MetService updates most heavily as the market resolution window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$36,014Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Wellington on August 6 points to a daytime maximum near 10–11°C**, driven by a clearing southerly flow following recent showers and gale-force winds. Official MetService guidance lists a 10°C high with partly cloudy skies and light winds after early frost risk, while some international models edge toward 11°C under increased solar heating as cloud breaks. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and strong maritime influence amplify small differences in wind direction, cloud cover, and timing of clearance—factors that separate 10°C from 11°C outcomes in winter. Near-average seasonal temperatures from NIWA outlooks align with this range, and traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and MetService updates most heavily as the market resolution window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,014Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Wellington on August 6 points to a daytime maximum near 10–11°C**, driven by a clearing southerly flow following recent showers and gale-force winds. Official MetService guidance lists a 10°C high with partly cloudy skies and light winds after early frost risk, while some international models edge toward 11°C under increased solar heating as cloud breaks. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and strong maritime influence amplify small differences in wind direction, cloud cover, and timing of clearance—factors that separate 10°C from 11°C outcomes in winter. Near-average seasonal temperatures from NIWA outlooks align with this range, and traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and MetService updates most heavily as the market resolution window approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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