Cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds are the main drivers keeping Zhengzhou's September 21 high temperature near 25°C, the market's leading outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Official forecasts indicate overcast skies with periods of showers and high humidity around 70-90%, which limit daytime heating and align with model consensus from sources like GFS. This setup contrasts with clearer conditions that could push readings to 26°C (33% odds) or higher. Current observations show temperatures in the low 20s°C amid stable pressure and light winds, consistent with seasonal September averages near 25°C but tempered by precipitation. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Zhengzhou il 21 settembre?
25°C 41%
26°C 38%
29°C 2.7%
27°C 1.1%
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
41%
26°C
39%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
1%
25°C 41%
26°C 38%
29°C 2.7%
27°C 1.1%
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
41%
26°C
39%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds are the main drivers keeping Zhengzhou's September 21 high temperature near 25°C, the market's leading outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Official forecasts indicate overcast skies with periods of showers and high humidity around 70-90%, which limit daytime heating and align with model consensus from sources like GFS. This setup contrasts with clearer conditions that could push readings to 26°C (33% odds) or higher. Current observations show temperatures in the low 20s°C amid stable pressure and light winds, consistent with seasonal September averages near 25°C but tempered by precipitation. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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