Recent upward pressure on the 30-year Treasury yield, holding near 5.27% as of September 2, stems primarily from persistent inflation concerns fueled by oil prices near $95 per barrel amid Middle East tensions and renewed fiscal deficit worries. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications, including Chairman Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks and comments from officials signaling a potential September 16 rate hike, have reinforced expectations of tighter policy, with futures pricing a roughly 60% probability of a 25-basis-point increase. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s expanded buyback program delivered only brief relief before yields rebounded. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 employment report, PPI and CPI releases, and the FOMC decision, which could shift rate-path expectations and long-end pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
30 set 2026
Sotto il 5,24%
50%
Sotto 5,21%
50%
Sotto il 5,18%
50%
Sotto il 5,15%
50%
Sotto 5,12%
50%
Sotto il 5,09%
50%
Sotto il 5,05%
50%
Sotto il 5,00%
50%
Sotto il 4,95%
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Sotto il 5,24%
$0 Vol.
50%
Sotto 5,21%
$0 Vol.
50%
Sotto il 5,18%
$0 Vol.
50%
Sotto il 5,15%
$0 Vol.
50%
Sotto 5,12%
$0 Vol.
50%
Sotto il 5,09%
$0 Vol.
50%
Sotto il 5,05%
$0 Vol.
50%
Sotto il 5,00%
$0 Vol.
50%
Sotto il 4,95%
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent upward pressure on the 30-year Treasury yield, holding near 5.27% as of September 2, stems primarily from persistent inflation concerns fueled by oil prices near $95 per barrel amid Middle East tensions and renewed fiscal deficit worries. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications, including Chairman Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks and comments from officials signaling a potential September 16 rate hike, have reinforced expectations of tighter policy, with futures pricing a roughly 60% probability of a 25-basis-point increase. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s expanded buyback program delivered only brief relief before yields rebounded. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 employment report, PPI and CPI releases, and the FOMC decision, which could shift rate-path expectations and long-end pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent upward pressure on the 30-year Treasury yield, holding near 5.27% as of September 2, stems primarily from persistent inflation concerns fueled by oil prices near $95 per barrel amid Middle East tensions and renewed fiscal deficit worries. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications, including Chairman Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks and comments from officials signaling a potential September 16 rate hike, have reinforced expectations of tighter policy, with futures pricing a roughly 60% probability of a 25-basis-point increase. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s expanded buyback program delivered only brief relief before yields rebounded. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 employment report, PPI and CPI releases, and the FOMC decision, which could shift rate-path expectations and long-end pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent upward pressure on the 30-year Treasury yield, holding near 5.27% as of September 2, stems primarily from persistent inflation concerns fueled by oil prices near $95 per barrel amid Middle East tensions and renewed fiscal deficit worries. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications, including Chairman Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks and comments from officials signaling a potential September 16 rate hike, have reinforced expectations of tighter policy, with futures pricing a roughly 60% probability of a 25-basis-point increase. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s expanded buyback program delivered only brief relief before yields rebounded. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 employment report, PPI and CPI releases, and the FOMC decision, which could shift rate-path expectations and long-end pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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