Recent inflation pressures from energy shocks tied to Middle East tensions, tariffs, and AI-driven demand have kept core PCE near 3.4% and pushed the 5-year Treasury yield to 4.55% as of September 1, 2026, up from 4.35% in late August. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% since January despite three dissents favoring a hike at the July meeting, with markets pricing roughly even odds of a September 15-16 tightening. Softer July CPI and employment data have tempered hike expectations, but upcoming August nonfarm payrolls on September 4, CPI on September 11, and the FOMC decision with updated projections remain key swing factors for near-term yield direction and the monthly low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
30 set 2026
Sotto 4,52%
50%
Sotto il 4,49%
51%
Sotto 4,46%
51%
Sotto il 4,43%
51%
Sotto il 4,40%
50%
Sotto il 4,37%
50%
Sotto 4,32%
50%
Sotto 4,27%
50%
Sotto il 4,20%
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Sotto 4,52%
$0 Vol.
50%
Sotto il 4,49%
$0 Vol.
51%
Sotto 4,46%
$0 Vol.
51%
Sotto il 4,43%
$0 Vol.
51%
Sotto il 4,40%
$0 Vol.
50%
Sotto il 4,37%
$0 Vol.
50%
Sotto 4,32%
$0 Vol.
50%
Sotto 4,27%
$0 Vol.
50%
Sotto il 4,20%
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent inflation pressures from energy shocks tied to Middle East tensions, tariffs, and AI-driven demand have kept core PCE near 3.4% and pushed the 5-year Treasury yield to 4.55% as of September 1, 2026, up from 4.35% in late August. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% since January despite three dissents favoring a hike at the July meeting, with markets pricing roughly even odds of a September 15-16 tightening. Softer July CPI and employment data have tempered hike expectations, but upcoming August nonfarm payrolls on September 4, CPI on September 11, and the FOMC decision with updated projections remain key swing factors for near-term yield direction and the monthly low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 8:45 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:45 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent inflation pressures from energy shocks tied to Middle East tensions, tariffs, and AI-driven demand have kept core PCE near 3.4% and pushed the 5-year Treasury yield to 4.55% as of September 1, 2026, up from 4.35% in late August. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% since January despite three dissents favoring a hike at the July meeting, with markets pricing roughly even odds of a September 15-16 tightening. Softer July CPI and employment data have tempered hike expectations, but upcoming August nonfarm payrolls on September 4, CPI on September 11, and the FOMC decision with updated projections remain key swing factors for near-term yield direction and the monthly low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:45 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation pressures from energy shocks tied to Middle East tensions, tariffs, and AI-driven demand have kept core PCE near 3.4% and pushed the 5-year Treasury yield to 4.55% as of September 1, 2026, up from 4.35% in late August. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% since January despite three dissents favoring a hike at the July meeting, with markets pricing roughly even odds of a September 15-16 tightening. Softer July CPI and employment data have tempered hike expectations, but upcoming August nonfarm payrolls on September 4, CPI on September 11, and the FOMC decision with updated projections remain key swing factors for near-term yield direction and the monthly low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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