**President Donald Trump's job approval ratings plunged to a second-term low of 34% in late April 2026 per Reuters/Ipsos polling, reflecting trader consensus on surging gas prices and inflation tied to the ongoing U.S. war with Iran.** Polling averages from RealClearPolitics hovered near 39% by month's end, down from mid-40s earlier, with economic handling approval dipping to 27-31% in surveys like CNN and AP-NORC amid cost-of-living complaints. Key drivers include war escalation signals, Federal Reserve rate deliberations, and weak consumer sentiment data, eroding support among independents and suburban voters. As April concluded, markets eye final aggregates like Nate Silver's bulletin or RCP for the nadir, with congressional War Powers Resolution votes and 2026 midterm positioning as looming catalysts for volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHow low will Trump's approval rating go in April?
How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?
$36,378 Vol.
30 apr 2026
39.0%
Yes
38.5%
No
38.0%
No
37.5%
No
37.0%
No
$36,378 Vol.
39.0%
$6,768 Vol.
Yes
38.5%
$11,501 Vol.
No
38.0%
$4,563 Vol.
No
37.5%
$3,027 Vol.
No
37.0%
$10,520 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.**President Donald Trump's job approval ratings plunged to a second-term low of 34% in late April 2026 per Reuters/Ipsos polling, reflecting trader consensus on surging gas prices and inflation tied to the ongoing U.S. war with Iran.** Polling averages from RealClearPolitics hovered near 39% by month's end, down from mid-40s earlier, with economic handling approval dipping to 27-31% in surveys like CNN and AP-NORC amid cost-of-living complaints. Key drivers include war escalation signals, Federal Reserve rate deliberations, and weak consumer sentiment data, eroding support among independents and suburban voters. As April concluded, markets eye final aggregates like Nate Silver's bulletin or RCP for the nadir, with congressional War Powers Resolution votes and 2026 midterm positioning as looming catalysts for volatility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Mercato aperto: Apr 8, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$36,378Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.**President Donald Trump's job approval ratings plunged to a second-term low of 34% in late April 2026 per Reuters/Ipsos polling, reflecting trader consensus on surging gas prices and inflation tied to the ongoing U.S. war with Iran.** Polling averages from RealClearPolitics hovered near 39% by month's end, down from mid-40s earlier, with economic handling approval dipping to 27-31% in surveys like CNN and AP-NORC amid cost-of-living complaints. Key drivers include war escalation signals, Federal Reserve rate deliberations, and weak consumer sentiment data, eroding support among independents and suburban voters. As April concluded, markets eye final aggregates like Nate Silver's bulletin or RCP for the nadir, with congressional War Powers Resolution votes and 2026 midterm positioning as looming catalysts for volatility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Volume
$36,378Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
**President Donald Trump's job approval ratings plunged to a second-term low of 34% in late April 2026 per Reuters/Ipsos polling, reflecting trader consensus on surging gas prices and inflation tied to the ongoing U.S. war with Iran.** Polling averages from RealClearPolitics hovered near 39% by month's end, down from mid-40s earlier, with economic handling approval dipping to 27-31% in surveys like CNN and AP-NORC amid cost-of-living complaints. Key drivers include war escalation signals, Federal Reserve rate deliberations, and weak consumer sentiment data, eroding support among independents and suburban voters. As April concluded, markets eye final aggregates like Nate Silver's bulletin or RCP for the nadir, with congressional War Powers Resolution votes and 2026 midterm positioning as looming catalysts for volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti