Trader consensus on September nonfarm payrolls reflects broad uncertainty in the labor market, with the 50k–100k jobs added range holding only a slim lead at 26% implied probability amid closely matched buckets. Recent August employment data and August CPI releases have shown moderating job growth alongside easing price pressures, prompting traders to price in a wide range of outcomes rather than a single consensus path. Federal Reserve communications on the policy rate trajectory and Treasury yield movements have reinforced this dispersion, as markets weigh the potential for further softening against resilient demand signals. The September FOMC meeting and subsequent high-frequency indicators like weekly jobless claims represent key upcoming catalysts that could shift positioning before the early October BLS release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuanti posti di lavoro sono stati aggiunti a settembre?
Quanti posti di lavoro sono stati aggiunti a settembre?
50.000 a 100.000 26%
100.000 a 150.000 22%
0 a 50 mila 20%
da -50.000 a 0 13%
<-50k
9%
da -50.000 a 0
13%
0 a 50 mila
20%
50.000 a 100.000
26%
100.000 a 150.000
22%
150k a 200k
5%
200k+
5%
50.000 a 100.000 26%
100.000 a 150.000 22%
0 a 50 mila 20%
da -50.000 a 0 13%
<-50k
9%
da -50.000 a 0
13%
0 a 50 mila
20%
50.000 a 100.000
26%
100.000 a 150.000
22%
150k a 200k
5%
200k+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on September nonfarm payrolls reflects broad uncertainty in the labor market, with the 50k–100k jobs added range holding only a slim lead at 26% implied probability amid closely matched buckets. Recent August employment data and August CPI releases have shown moderating job growth alongside easing price pressures, prompting traders to price in a wide range of outcomes rather than a single consensus path. Federal Reserve communications on the policy rate trajectory and Treasury yield movements have reinforced this dispersion, as markets weigh the potential for further softening against resilient demand signals. The September FOMC meeting and subsequent high-frequency indicators like weekly jobless claims represent key upcoming catalysts that could shift positioning before the early October BLS release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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