Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton holds a commanding lead in the 2026 open U.S. Senate race because Illinois has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent statewide contests, including a double-digit presidential advantage in 2024. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with strong organizational support from Gov. JB Pritzker and superior fundraising, while Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, emerged from a lower-visibility primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-cycle national political realignments, candidate-specific developments, or turnout surges, though the state's structural partisan patterns limit their near-term effect on assessments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Illinois
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Illinois
$32,370 Vol.
$32,370 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
96%
Don Tracy (R)
3%
$32,370 Vol.
$32,370 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$16,811 Vol.
96%
Don Tracy (R)
$15,559 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton holds a commanding lead in the 2026 open U.S. Senate race because Illinois has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent statewide contests, including a double-digit presidential advantage in 2024. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with strong organizational support from Gov. JB Pritzker and superior fundraising, while Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, emerged from a lower-visibility primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-cycle national political realignments, candidate-specific developments, or turnout surges, though the state's structural partisan patterns limit their near-term effect on assessments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$32,370Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton holds a commanding lead in the 2026 open U.S. Senate race because Illinois has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent statewide contests, including a double-digit presidential advantage in 2024. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with strong organizational support from Gov. JB Pritzker and superior fundraising, while Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, emerged from a lower-visibility primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-cycle national political realignments, candidate-specific developments, or turnout surges, though the state's structural partisan patterns limit their near-term effect on assessments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$32,370Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton holds a commanding lead in the 2026 open U.S. Senate race because Illinois has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent statewide contests, including a double-digit presidential advantage in 2024. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with strong organizational support from Gov. JB Pritzker and superior fundraising, while Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, emerged from a lower-visibility primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-cycle national political realignments, candidate-specific developments, or turnout surges, though the state's structural partisan patterns limit their near-term effect on assessments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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