United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus in the Kaliningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its long-standing regional dominance, including 29 of 40 seats after the 2021 vote, combined with parallel voting that favors incumbents through single-member districts and party-list thresholds. Court rulings in August 2026 removed Yabloko from the ballot, further limiting organized opposition, while other registered parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia have shown limited support in prior cycles. The election coincides with the September 2026 federal State Duma vote under standard administrative controls typical of Russian regions. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually low turnout affecting proportional seats or verified procedural disputes, though historical patterns and structural factors make major shifts improbable before the 18–20 September voting window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUnited Russia 97.4%
Yabloko 2.1%
LDPR 1.7%
CPRF <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
United Russia
97%
Yabloko
2%
LDPR
2%
CPRF
1%
A Just Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
United Russia 97.4%
Yabloko 2.1%
LDPR 1.7%
CPRF <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
United Russia
$2,346 Vol.
97%
Yabloko
$1,063 Vol.
2%
LDPR
$783 Vol.
2%
CPRF
$691 Vol.
1%
A Just Russia
$721 Vol.
<1%
New People
$625 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus in the Kaliningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its long-standing regional dominance, including 29 of 40 seats after the 2021 vote, combined with parallel voting that favors incumbents through single-member districts and party-list thresholds. Court rulings in August 2026 removed Yabloko from the ballot, further limiting organized opposition, while other registered parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia have shown limited support in prior cycles. The election coincides with the September 2026 federal State Duma vote under standard administrative controls typical of Russian regions. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually low turnout affecting proportional seats or verified procedural disputes, though historical patterns and structural factors make major shifts improbable before the 18–20 September voting window closes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercato aperto: Jul 28, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,229Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:55 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus in the Kaliningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its long-standing regional dominance, including 29 of 40 seats after the 2021 vote, combined with parallel voting that favors incumbents through single-member districts and party-list thresholds. Court rulings in August 2026 removed Yabloko from the ballot, further limiting organized opposition, while other registered parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia have shown limited support in prior cycles. The election coincides with the September 2026 federal State Duma vote under standard administrative controls typical of Russian regions. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually low turnout affecting proportional seats or verified procedural disputes, though historical patterns and structural factors make major shifts improbable before the 18–20 September voting window closes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$6,229Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:55 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus in the Kaliningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its long-standing regional dominance, including 29 of 40 seats after the 2021 vote, combined with parallel voting that favors incumbents through single-member districts and party-list thresholds. Court rulings in August 2026 removed Yabloko from the ballot, further limiting organized opposition, while other registered parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia have shown limited support in prior cycles. The election coincides with the September 2026 federal State Duma vote under standard administrative controls typical of Russian regions. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually low turnout affecting proportional seats or verified procedural disputes, though historical patterns and structural factors make major shifts improbable before the 18–20 September voting window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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