Official National Weather Service and private model consensus for Dallas on August 28 points to a clear, calm night with light east-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s. This range aligns with trader clustering around the 78–83 °F bins, as radiative cooling under high pressure is tempered by elevated dew points typical of late-summer Gulf moisture. Subtle differences among guidance—such as minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind speed—create the tight probability spread across those four leading outcomes, while lower-probability bins below 76 °F or above 84 °F reflect the low likelihood of stronger cooling or unexpected warming from advection. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Dallas il 28 agosto?
80-81°F 26%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 22%
69°F o inferiore
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
4%
88°F o superiore
2%
80-81°F 26%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 22%
69°F o inferiore
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
4%
88°F o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and private model consensus for Dallas on August 28 points to a clear, calm night with light east-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s. This range aligns with trader clustering around the 78–83 °F bins, as radiative cooling under high pressure is tempered by elevated dew points typical of late-summer Gulf moisture. Subtle differences among guidance—such as minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind speed—create the tight probability spread across those four leading outcomes, while lower-probability bins below 76 °F or above 84 °F reflect the low likelihood of stronger cooling or unexpected warming from advection. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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