Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong l'8 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong l'8 maggio?
24°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$147,819 Vol.
$147,819 Vol.
8 mag 2026
18°C o inferiore
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Sì
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o superiore
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$147,819 Vol.
$147,819 Vol.
8 mag 2026
18°C o inferiore
$4,018 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,406 Vol.
No
20°C
$9,785 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,436 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,872 Vol.
No
23°C
$31,968 Vol.
No
24°C
$18,593 Vol.
Sì
25°C
$54,290 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,159 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,968 Vol.
No
28°C o superiore
$3,324 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$147,819Data di fine
8 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$147,819Data di fine
8 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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