Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 point to northwest winds of force 4-5, generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, and a daily temperature range of 26-31°C, shaped by the combined effects of Tropical Cyclone Sadler lingering over the northeastern South China Sea and the northeast monsoon. These conditions limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and mixing, producing market-implied odds centered on a 25-26°C minimum. Subtle differences between those leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and cloud thickness, which control how much the surface can cool before sunrise. An emerging El Niño episode supports the broader seasonal tendency toward normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet the immediate synoptic pattern dominates the short-term outlook. Updated HKO guidance and model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 3 settembre?
26°C 41%
25°C 34%
24°C 10%
27°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
34%
26°C
41%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
8%
26°C 41%
25°C 34%
24°C 10%
27°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
20°C or below
$111 Vol.
1%
21°C
$111 Vol.
1%
22°C
$492 Vol.
1%
23°C
$71 Vol.
4%
24°C
$464 Vol.
10%
25°C
$1,046 Vol.
34%
26°C
$475 Vol.
41%
27°C
$537 Vol.
10%
28°C
$363 Vol.
5%
29°C
$1,017 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$100 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 point to northwest winds of force 4-5, generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, and a daily temperature range of 26-31°C, shaped by the combined effects of Tropical Cyclone Sadler lingering over the northeastern South China Sea and the northeast monsoon. These conditions limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and mixing, producing market-implied odds centered on a 25-26°C minimum. Subtle differences between those leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and cloud thickness, which control how much the surface can cool before sunrise. An emerging El Niño episode supports the broader seasonal tendency toward normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet the immediate synoptic pattern dominates the short-term outlook. Updated HKO guidance and model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,611Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 point to northwest winds of force 4-5, generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, and a daily temperature range of 26-31°C, shaped by the combined effects of Tropical Cyclone Sadler lingering over the northeastern South China Sea and the northeast monsoon. These conditions limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and mixing, producing market-implied odds centered on a 25-26°C minimum. Subtle differences between those leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and cloud thickness, which control how much the surface can cool before sunrise. An emerging El Niño episode supports the broader seasonal tendency toward normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet the immediate synoptic pattern dominates the short-term outlook. Updated HKO guidance and model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,611Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 point to northwest winds of force 4-5, generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, and a daily temperature range of 26-31°C, shaped by the combined effects of Tropical Cyclone Sadler lingering over the northeastern South China Sea and the northeast monsoon. These conditions limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and mixing, producing market-implied odds centered on a 25-26°C minimum. Subtle differences between those leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and cloud thickness, which control how much the surface can cool before sunrise. An emerging El Niño episode supports the broader seasonal tendency toward normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet the immediate synoptic pattern dominates the short-term outlook. Updated HKO guidance and model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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