Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a Miami minimum temperature near 82°F on August 9, aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome. Persistent easterly trade winds, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited cloud cover overnight restrict radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Recent observations show overnight lows holding in the 78–82°F range amid stable high pressure without tropical disturbances or cold fronts to alter the pattern. Historical August normals near 78°F provide context, yet current guidance favors warmer values due to ongoing humidity. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 9 agosto?
84-85°F 16%
80-81°F 10%
78-79°F 9%
76-77°F 5%
71°F o inferiore
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F o superiore
1%
84-85°F 16%
80-81°F 10%
78-79°F 9%
76-77°F 5%
71°F o inferiore
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a Miami minimum temperature near 82°F on August 9, aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome. Persistent easterly trade winds, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited cloud cover overnight restrict radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Recent observations show overnight lows holding in the 78–82°F range amid stable high pressure without tropical disturbances or cold fronts to alter the pattern. Historical August normals near 78°F provide context, yet current guidance favors warmer values due to ongoing humidity. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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