Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate substantial uncertainty in Munich’s overnight minimum for September 10, with guidance clustered between 6–9 °C and modest spread from radiational cooling under variable cloud cover. Clearer skies and lighter winds would favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased moisture or a subtle warm-air advection from the west could limit the drop. The dispersed market probabilities reflect this model divergence plus typical short-range forecast error of 1–2 °C for central European autumn nights. Traders will monitor the final DWD station reading at Munich Airport tomorrow morning, where urban heat-island effects and exact measurement timing can shift the official low by fractions of a degree.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Monaco di Baviera il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Monaco di Baviera il 10 settembre?
11°C 40%
6°C o inferiore 36%
8°C 24%
10°C 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
36%
7°C
21%
8°C
24%
9°C
21%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C o superiore
<1%
11°C 40%
6°C o inferiore 36%
8°C 24%
10°C 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
$95 Vol.
36%
7°C
$4 Vol.
21%
8°C
$0 Vol.
24%
9°C
$25 Vol.
21%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
16°C o superiore
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate substantial uncertainty in Munich’s overnight minimum for September 10, with guidance clustered between 6–9 °C and modest spread from radiational cooling under variable cloud cover. Clearer skies and lighter winds would favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased moisture or a subtle warm-air advection from the west could limit the drop. The dispersed market probabilities reflect this model divergence plus typical short-range forecast error of 1–2 °C for central European autumn nights. Traders will monitor the final DWD station reading at Munich Airport tomorrow morning, where urban heat-island effects and exact measurement timing can shift the official low by fractions of a degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$199Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate substantial uncertainty in Munich’s overnight minimum for September 10, with guidance clustered between 6–9 °C and modest spread from radiational cooling under variable cloud cover. Clearer skies and lighter winds would favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased moisture or a subtle warm-air advection from the west could limit the drop. The dispersed market probabilities reflect this model divergence plus typical short-range forecast error of 1–2 °C for central European autumn nights. Traders will monitor the final DWD station reading at Munich Airport tomorrow morning, where urban heat-island effects and exact measurement timing can shift the official low by fractions of a degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$199Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate substantial uncertainty in Munich’s overnight minimum for September 10, with guidance clustered between 6–9 °C and modest spread from radiational cooling under variable cloud cover. Clearer skies and lighter winds would favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased moisture or a subtle warm-air advection from the west could limit the drop. The dispersed market probabilities reflect this model divergence plus typical short-range forecast error of 1–2 °C for central European autumn nights. Traders will monitor the final DWD station reading at Munich Airport tomorrow morning, where urban heat-island effects and exact measurement timing can shift the official low by fractions of a degree.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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