Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 23 around 12–13 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure that limits strong radiational cooling. This setup favors the market’s leading 11 °C and 10 °C outcomes, which together hold over two-thirds probability, as traders weigh slight downward revisions possible in final model runs or localized urban heat island effects. Historical September 23 lows average near 11 °C, providing context for the 20 % chance assigned to 8 °C or below if a cooler air mass arrives earlier than expected. No significant precipitation or frontal systems are projected to alter the mild trajectory before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 23 settembre?
11°C 41%
9°C 39%
8°C o inferiore 38%
14°C 27%
8°C o inferiore
38%
9°C
39%
10°C
30%
11°C
38%
12°C
20%
13°C
14%
14°C
27%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C o superiore
2%
11°C 41%
9°C 39%
8°C o inferiore 38%
14°C 27%
8°C o inferiore
38%
9°C
39%
10°C
30%
11°C
38%
12°C
20%
13°C
14%
14°C
27%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 23 around 12–13 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure that limits strong radiational cooling. This setup favors the market’s leading 11 °C and 10 °C outcomes, which together hold over two-thirds probability, as traders weigh slight downward revisions possible in final model runs or localized urban heat island effects. Historical September 23 lows average near 11 °C, providing context for the 20 % chance assigned to 8 °C or below if a cooler air mass arrives earlier than expected. No significant precipitation or frontal systems are projected to alter the mild trajectory before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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