Recent northerly cold air advection has lowered daytime highs in the Seoul-Incheon region by 2–4 °C from prior days, with official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple models projecting an overnight minimum of 18–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate northeast winds. Radiative cooling overnight, combined with dew points near 13–14 °C and stable high pressure, favors the 19–20 °C range that currently commands over 90 % of trader-implied probability. Historical September climatology for Incheon shows average lows near 18 °C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes as new model runs and surface observations are incorporated.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 9 settembre?
20°C 71%
19°C 23%
15°C 4.5%
18°C 3%
$19,260 Vol.
$19,260 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
23%
20°C
71%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 71%
19°C 23%
15°C 4.5%
18°C 3%
$19,260 Vol.
$19,260 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
23%
20°C
71%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly cold air advection has lowered daytime highs in the Seoul-Incheon region by 2–4 °C from prior days, with official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple models projecting an overnight minimum of 18–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate northeast winds. Radiative cooling overnight, combined with dew points near 13–14 °C and stable high pressure, favors the 19–20 °C range that currently commands over 90 % of trader-implied probability. Historical September climatology for Incheon shows average lows near 18 °C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes as new model runs and surface observations are incorporated.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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