**Forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models positions 16–17°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Incheon on September 10.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under high pressure, combined with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity, favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 24–26°C. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C (33%) and 17°C (47.5%). Traders appear to discount cooler outliers below 15°C given the absence of stronger cold advection, while warmer scenarios above 18°C receive lower implied probability amid the established autumnal trend. Updated KMA briefings and final observational data before midnight local time will provide the last inputs ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 10 settembre?
17°C 47%
16°C 34%
18°C 16%
15°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
34%
17°C
47%
18°C
16%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C o superiore
1%
17°C 47%
16°C 34%
18°C 16%
15°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
$142 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$859 Vol.
1%
13°C
$99 Vol.
1%
14°C
$620 Vol.
2%
15°C
$122 Vol.
6%
16°C
$1,373 Vol.
34%
17°C
$2,097 Vol.
47%
18°C
$421 Vol.
16%
19°C
$192 Vol.
4%
20°C
$196 Vol.
2%
21°C o superiore
$107 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models positions 16–17°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Incheon on September 10.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under high pressure, combined with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity, favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 24–26°C. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C (33%) and 17°C (47.5%). Traders appear to discount cooler outliers below 15°C given the absence of stronger cold advection, while warmer scenarios above 18°C receive lower implied probability amid the established autumnal trend. Updated KMA briefings and final observational data before midnight local time will provide the last inputs ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$6,229Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models positions 16–17°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Incheon on September 10.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under high pressure, combined with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity, favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 24–26°C. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C (33%) and 17°C (47.5%). Traders appear to discount cooler outliers below 15°C given the absence of stronger cold advection, while warmer scenarios above 18°C receive lower implied probability amid the established autumnal trend. Updated KMA briefings and final observational data before midnight local time will provide the last inputs ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,229Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models positions 16–17°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Incheon on September 10.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under high pressure, combined with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity, favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 24–26°C. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C (33%) and 17°C (47.5%). Traders appear to discount cooler outliers below 15°C given the absence of stronger cold advection, while warmer scenarios above 18°C receive lower implied probability amid the established autumnal trend. Updated KMA briefings and final observational data before midnight local time will provide the last inputs ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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