Democrat Deb Haaland holds a commanding lead in New Mexico’s open-seat 2026 gubernatorial race against Republican Gregg Hull, reflected in the market’s 92.5% consensus probability for the Democratic nominee. Recent BSP Research polling from mid-August shows Haaland ahead 41% to 24% among registered voters, consistent with earlier surveys and the state’s Democratic lean demonstrated in recent federal contests. Haaland’s primary victory, prior service as U.S. Interior secretary and representative, and broad party support have contributed to her position, while many independents remain undecided. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low Democratic turnout, shifts among undecided voters, or late developments that alter the race’s fundamentals before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$32,974 Vol.
$32,974 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratico
93%
Repubblicano
5%
$32,974 Vol.
$32,974 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratico
$18,418 Vol.
93%
Repubblicano
$14,556 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democrat Deb Haaland holds a commanding lead in New Mexico’s open-seat 2026 gubernatorial race against Republican Gregg Hull, reflected in the market’s 92.5% consensus probability for the Democratic nominee. Recent BSP Research polling from mid-August shows Haaland ahead 41% to 24% among registered voters, consistent with earlier surveys and the state’s Democratic lean demonstrated in recent federal contests. Haaland’s primary victory, prior service as U.S. Interior secretary and representative, and broad party support have contributed to her position, while many independents remain undecided. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low Democratic turnout, shifts among undecided voters, or late developments that alter the race’s fundamentals before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$32,974Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democrat Deb Haaland holds a commanding lead in New Mexico’s open-seat 2026 gubernatorial race against Republican Gregg Hull, reflected in the market’s 92.5% consensus probability for the Democratic nominee. Recent BSP Research polling from mid-August shows Haaland ahead 41% to 24% among registered voters, consistent with earlier surveys and the state’s Democratic lean demonstrated in recent federal contests. Haaland’s primary victory, prior service as U.S. Interior secretary and representative, and broad party support have contributed to her position, while many independents remain undecided. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low Democratic turnout, shifts among undecided voters, or late developments that alter the race’s fundamentals before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$32,974Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democrat Deb Haaland holds a commanding lead in New Mexico’s open-seat 2026 gubernatorial race against Republican Gregg Hull, reflected in the market’s 92.5% consensus probability for the Democratic nominee. Recent BSP Research polling from mid-August shows Haaland ahead 41% to 24% among registered voters, consistent with earlier surveys and the state’s Democratic lean demonstrated in recent federal contests. Haaland’s primary victory, prior service as U.S. Interior secretary and representative, and broad party support have contributed to her position, while many independents remain undecided. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low Democratic turnout, shifts among undecided voters, or late developments that alter the race’s fundamentals before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti