Russia and Ukraine's mutual accusations of thousands of ceasefire violations during the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12 underscore deep distrust, with fighting resuming at full intensity shortly after and recent Russian strikes hitting Kyiv amid Ukrainian drone defenses. This collapse of even a brief halt reflects stalled frontline dynamics, where Russian advances slowed to zero territorial gains in March for the first time in over two years, per Institute for the Study of War assessments, amid exhaustion from prior offensives and Ukrainian counteractions. Absent resumed substantive peace negotiations—despite Zelenskyy's conditional openness and vague talk of a Turkey summit—traders price a comprehensive ceasefire by year-end as unlikely at 29.5% Yes, betting on prolonged attrition warfare given entrenched demands over territory, neutrality, and withdrawals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$14,068,338 Vol.
$14,068,338 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
Sì
$14,068,338 Vol.
$14,068,338 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Russia and Ukraine's mutual accusations of thousands of ceasefire violations during the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12 underscore deep distrust, with fighting resuming at full intensity shortly after and recent Russian strikes hitting Kyiv amid Ukrainian drone defenses. This collapse of even a brief halt reflects stalled frontline dynamics, where Russian advances slowed to zero territorial gains in March for the first time in over two years, per Institute for the Study of War assessments, amid exhaustion from prior offensives and Ukrainian counteractions. Absent resumed substantive peace negotiations—despite Zelenskyy's conditional openness and vague talk of a Turkey summit—traders price a comprehensive ceasefire by year-end as unlikely at 29.5% Yes, betting on prolonged attrition warfare given entrenched demands over territory, neutrality, and withdrawals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$14,068,338Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Russia and Ukraine's mutual accusations of thousands of ceasefire violations during the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12 underscore deep distrust, with fighting resuming at full intensity shortly after and recent Russian strikes hitting Kyiv amid Ukrainian drone defenses. This collapse of even a brief halt reflects stalled frontline dynamics, where Russian advances slowed to zero territorial gains in March for the first time in over two years, per Institute for the Study of War assessments, amid exhaustion from prior offensives and Ukrainian counteractions. Absent resumed substantive peace negotiations—despite Zelenskyy's conditional openness and vague talk of a Turkey summit—traders price a comprehensive ceasefire by year-end as unlikely at 29.5% Yes, betting on prolonged attrition warfare given entrenched demands over territory, neutrality, and withdrawals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$14,068,338Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Russia and Ukraine's mutual accusations of thousands of ceasefire violations during the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12 underscore deep distrust, with fighting resuming at full intensity shortly after and recent Russian strikes hitting Kyiv amid Ukrainian drone defenses. This collapse of even a brief halt reflects stalled frontline dynamics, where Russian advances slowed to zero territorial gains in March for the first time in over two years, per Institute for the Study of War assessments, amid exhaustion from prior offensives and Ukrainian counteractions. Absent resumed substantive peace negotiations—despite Zelenskyy's conditional openness and vague talk of a Turkey summit—traders price a comprehensive ceasefire by year-end as unlikely at 29.5% Yes, betting on prolonged attrition warfare given entrenched demands over territory, neutrality, and withdrawals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti