**Ukrainian long-range drone strikes have repeatedly targeted Moscow in 2026, with the largest barrage on March 15 prompting city-wide lockdowns, airport closures at Vnukovo and Domodedovo, and over 65 interceptions by Russian air defenses.** A follow-up incursion on April 3 saw additional drones downed near the capital, causing brief flight restrictions. No confirmed actions have occurred since, as Ukraine prioritizes mid-range strikes on Russian radar systems in Belgorod Oblast and military assets in occupied Donetsk and Crimea, per recent reports. Amid Russia's spring offensive and collapsed Easter truce, traders assess Ukraine's expanding drone production—bolstered by German partnerships—against robust Russian defenses, with escalation risks tied to frontline advances or U.S.-mediated talks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$154,565 Vol.
15 apr 2026
15 aprile
<1%
30 aprile
7%
$154,565 Vol.
15 aprile
$3,497 Vol.
<1%
30 aprile
$11,525 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.**Ukrainian long-range drone strikes have repeatedly targeted Moscow in 2026, with the largest barrage on March 15 prompting city-wide lockdowns, airport closures at Vnukovo and Domodedovo, and over 65 interceptions by Russian air defenses.** A follow-up incursion on April 3 saw additional drones downed near the capital, causing brief flight restrictions. No confirmed actions have occurred since, as Ukraine prioritizes mid-range strikes on Russian radar systems in Belgorod Oblast and military assets in occupied Donetsk and Crimea, per recent reports. Amid Russia's spring offensive and collapsed Easter truce, traders assess Ukraine's expanding drone production—bolstered by German partnerships—against robust Russian defenses, with escalation risks tied to frontline advances or U.S.-mediated talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$154,565Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.**Ukrainian long-range drone strikes have repeatedly targeted Moscow in 2026, with the largest barrage on March 15 prompting city-wide lockdowns, airport closures at Vnukovo and Domodedovo, and over 65 interceptions by Russian air defenses.** A follow-up incursion on April 3 saw additional drones downed near the capital, causing brief flight restrictions. No confirmed actions have occurred since, as Ukraine prioritizes mid-range strikes on Russian radar systems in Belgorod Oblast and military assets in occupied Donetsk and Crimea, per recent reports. Amid Russia's spring offensive and collapsed Easter truce, traders assess Ukraine's expanding drone production—bolstered by German partnerships—against robust Russian defenses, with escalation risks tied to frontline advances or U.S.-mediated talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$154,565Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ukrainian long-range drone strikes have repeatedly targeted Moscow in 2026, with the largest barrage on March 15 prompting city-wide lockdowns, airport closures at Vnukovo and Domodedovo, and over 65 interceptions by Russian air defenses.** A follow-up incursion on April 3 saw additional drones downed near the capital, causing brief flight restrictions. No confirmed actions have occurred since, as Ukraine prioritizes mid-range strikes on Russian radar systems in Belgorod Oblast and military assets in occupied Donetsk and Crimea, per recent reports. Amid Russia's spring offensive and collapsed Easter truce, traders assess Ukraine's expanding drone production—bolstered by German partnerships—against robust Russian defenses, with escalation risks tied to frontline advances or U.S.-mediated talks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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