Recent August CPI data at 0.8% year-on-year, driven by higher non-food and transport costs amid elevated energy prices and AI-related demand, has anchored trader views near the current 0.7-0.8% and 0.9-1.0% brackets. Persistent drags from weak food prices, subdued retail sales, and soft domestic consumption continue to limit upside momentum, while industrial output and producer prices show firmer trends. Forecasts from institutions such as the IMF point to a full-year 2026 rate around 1.2%, yet September-specific expectations cluster near 0.8% amid moderating global energy influences and limited new fiscal stimulus. This balance of cost-push factors against demand weakness keeps the two leading outcomes evenly matched, with any acceleration in consumption or further policy measures likely to shift probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato0,7% a 0,8% 43%
0,9% a 1,0% 43%
1,1%+ 4.9%
≤0,4% 2.3%
$23,617 Vol.
$23,617 Vol.
14 ott 2026
≤0,4%
2%
0,5% a 0,6%
9%
0,7% a 0,8%
43%
0,9% a 1,0%
43%
1,1%+
5%
0,7% a 0,8% 43%
0,9% a 1,0% 43%
1,1%+ 4.9%
≤0,4% 2.3%
$23,617 Vol.
$23,617 Vol.
14 ott 2026
≤0,4%
$611 Vol.
2%
0,5% a 0,6%
$605 Vol.
9%
0,7% a 0,8%
$10,014 Vol.
43%
0,9% a 1,0%
$11,311 Vol.
43%
1,1%+
$1,076 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent August CPI data at 0.8% year-on-year, driven by higher non-food and transport costs amid elevated energy prices and AI-related demand, has anchored trader views near the current 0.7-0.8% and 0.9-1.0% brackets. Persistent drags from weak food prices, subdued retail sales, and soft domestic consumption continue to limit upside momentum, while industrial output and producer prices show firmer trends. Forecasts from institutions such as the IMF point to a full-year 2026 rate around 1.2%, yet September-specific expectations cluster near 0.8% amid moderating global energy influences and limited new fiscal stimulus. This balance of cost-push factors against demand weakness keeps the two leading outcomes evenly matched, with any acceleration in consumption or further policy measures likely to shift probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Volume
$23,617Data di fine
14 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent August CPI data at 0.8% year-on-year, driven by higher non-food and transport costs amid elevated energy prices and AI-related demand, has anchored trader views near the current 0.7-0.8% and 0.9-1.0% brackets. Persistent drags from weak food prices, subdued retail sales, and soft domestic consumption continue to limit upside momentum, while industrial output and producer prices show firmer trends. Forecasts from institutions such as the IMF point to a full-year 2026 rate around 1.2%, yet September-specific expectations cluster near 0.8% amid moderating global energy influences and limited new fiscal stimulus. This balance of cost-push factors against demand weakness keeps the two leading outcomes evenly matched, with any acceleration in consumption or further policy measures likely to shift probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$23,617Data di fine
14 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data at 0.8% year-on-year, driven by higher non-food and transport costs amid elevated energy prices and AI-related demand, has anchored trader views near the current 0.7-0.8% and 0.9-1.0% brackets. Persistent drags from weak food prices, subdued retail sales, and soft domestic consumption continue to limit upside momentum, while industrial output and producer prices show firmer trends. Forecasts from institutions such as the IMF point to a full-year 2026 rate around 1.2%, yet September-specific expectations cluster near 0.8% amid moderating global energy influences and limited new fiscal stimulus. This balance of cost-push factors against demand weakness keeps the two leading outcomes evenly matched, with any acceleration in consumption or further policy measures likely to shift probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti