Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 private round and Goldman Sachs mandate, anchors trader expectations around a near-term listing at a modest premium to that benchmark. Strong ARR approaching $500 million, 80-90% subscription retention, 180 million users, and acquisitions such as Runna that deepen training features support the 2-5 billion valuation buckets that together command over half the market. Uncertainty over final pricing, 2026 IPO window demand for consumer apps, and execution on Gen Z growth versus potential delays or softer multiples explain the dispersion across sub-$2 billion, higher-band, and “no IPO before 2028” outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCapitalizzazione di mercato chiusura IPO Strava
Capitalizzazione di mercato chiusura IPO Strava
2B–3B 33%
4B–5B 21%
<2B 20%
No IPO before 2028 9%
$86,371 Vol.
$86,371 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2B
20%
2B–3B
34%
3B–4B
8%
4B–5B
21%
5B–7B
5%
7B–10B
1%
10B–15B
6%
15B+
3%
No IPO before 2028
9%
2B–3B 33%
4B–5B 21%
<2B 20%
No IPO before 2028 9%
$86,371 Vol.
$86,371 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2B
$812 Vol.
20%
2B–3B
$54,169 Vol.
34%
3B–4B
$25,125 Vol.
8%
4B–5B
$1,113 Vol.
21%
5B–7B
$847 Vol.
5%
7B–10B
$944 Vol.
1%
10B–15B
$1,557 Vol.
6%
15B+
$1,240 Vol.
3%
No IPO before 2028
$563 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 private round and Goldman Sachs mandate, anchors trader expectations around a near-term listing at a modest premium to that benchmark. Strong ARR approaching $500 million, 80-90% subscription retention, 180 million users, and acquisitions such as Runna that deepen training features support the 2-5 billion valuation buckets that together command over half the market. Uncertainty over final pricing, 2026 IPO window demand for consumer apps, and execution on Gen Z growth versus potential delays or softer multiples explain the dispersion across sub-$2 billion, higher-band, and “no IPO before 2028” outcomes.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$86,371Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 private round and Goldman Sachs mandate, anchors trader expectations around a near-term listing at a modest premium to that benchmark. Strong ARR approaching $500 million, 80-90% subscription retention, 180 million users, and acquisitions such as Runna that deepen training features support the 2-5 billion valuation buckets that together command over half the market. Uncertainty over final pricing, 2026 IPO window demand for consumer apps, and execution on Gen Z growth versus potential delays or softer multiples explain the dispersion across sub-$2 billion, higher-band, and “no IPO before 2028” outcomes.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$86,371Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 private round and Goldman Sachs mandate, anchors trader expectations around a near-term listing at a modest premium to that benchmark. Strong ARR approaching $500 million, 80-90% subscription retention, 180 million users, and acquisitions such as Runna that deepen training features support the 2-5 billion valuation buckets that together command over half the market. Uncertainty over final pricing, 2026 IPO window demand for consumer apps, and execution on Gen Z growth versus potential delays or softer multiples explain the dispersion across sub-$2 billion, higher-band, and “no IPO before 2028” outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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