Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and hiring of Goldman Sachs signaled IPO readiness, yet the missed spring window and lack of a public prospectus as of mid-September keep the market tightly split. Traders anchor heavily to the company’s most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from the 2025 round, supporting the near-even odds between the 2B–3B and 7B–10B brackets. Subscription revenue near $415–500 million, an 180-million-user base, and data advantages create room for a step-up, but limited recent growth updates, execution risks around pricing, and broader IPO-market conditions cap enthusiasm for larger multiples. Board additions and API monetization moves add credibility without shifting the core valuation debate, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to any public filing or revenue catalyst that could separate the ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCapitalizzazione di mercato chiusura IPO Strava
Capitalizzazione di mercato chiusura IPO Strava
2B–3B 30%
<2B 9.8%
4B–5B 10%
5B–7B 5.5%
$90,757 Vol.
$90,757 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2B
10%
2B–3B
30%
3B–4B
18%
4B–5B
10%
5B–7B
5%
7B–10B
22%
10B–15B
5%
15B+
4%
No IPO before 2028
8%
2B–3B 30%
<2B 9.8%
4B–5B 10%
5B–7B 5.5%
$90,757 Vol.
$90,757 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2B
$949 Vol.
10%
2B–3B
$54,521 Vol.
30%
3B–4B
$27,756 Vol.
18%
4B–5B
$1,395 Vol.
10%
5B–7B
$1,016 Vol.
5%
7B–10B
$1,197 Vol.
22%
10B–15B
$1,748 Vol.
5%
15B+
$1,436 Vol.
4%
No IPO before 2028
$739 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and hiring of Goldman Sachs signaled IPO readiness, yet the missed spring window and lack of a public prospectus as of mid-September keep the market tightly split. Traders anchor heavily to the company’s most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from the 2025 round, supporting the near-even odds between the 2B–3B and 7B–10B brackets. Subscription revenue near $415–500 million, an 180-million-user base, and data advantages create room for a step-up, but limited recent growth updates, execution risks around pricing, and broader IPO-market conditions cap enthusiasm for larger multiples. Board additions and API monetization moves add credibility without shifting the core valuation debate, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to any public filing or revenue catalyst that could separate the ranges.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$90,757Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and hiring of Goldman Sachs signaled IPO readiness, yet the missed spring window and lack of a public prospectus as of mid-September keep the market tightly split. Traders anchor heavily to the company’s most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from the 2025 round, supporting the near-even odds between the 2B–3B and 7B–10B brackets. Subscription revenue near $415–500 million, an 180-million-user base, and data advantages create room for a step-up, but limited recent growth updates, execution risks around pricing, and broader IPO-market conditions cap enthusiasm for larger multiples. Board additions and API monetization moves add credibility without shifting the core valuation debate, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to any public filing or revenue catalyst that could separate the ranges.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$90,757Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and hiring of Goldman Sachs signaled IPO readiness, yet the missed spring window and lack of a public prospectus as of mid-September keep the market tightly split. Traders anchor heavily to the company’s most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from the 2025 round, supporting the near-even odds between the 2B–3B and 7B–10B brackets. Subscription revenue near $415–500 million, an 180-million-user base, and data advantages create room for a step-up, but limited recent growth updates, execution risks around pricing, and broader IPO-market conditions cap enthusiasm for larger multiples. Board additions and API monetization moves add credibility without shifting the core valuation debate, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to any public filing or revenue catalyst that could separate the ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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