The rapid escalation of the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo since its May 2026 declaration has dominated trader focus, with confirmed cases surpassing 4,900 and deaths topping 2,300—making it the country's deadliest on record—while brief imported cases reached Uganda before that outbreak concluded in July. Sustained community transmission in Ituri and neighboring provinces, combined with WHO's public health emergency designation, has locked in near-certain resolution for DRC and raised scrutiny on cross-border risks to Uganda, Rwanda, and South Sudan amid ongoing response efforts. Upcoming catalysts include August case-count updates, isolation-rate improvements, and any spillover signals ahead of year-end resolution, though historical containment patterns suggest limited further geographic spread without major lapses in surveillance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$33,463 Vol.
South Sudan
69%
Rwanda
29%
Burundi
32%
United States
23%
Canada
24%
Kenya
53%
India
14%
Republic of the Congo
26%
Nigeria
50%
Ethiopia
51%
Somalia
34%
China
21%
$33,463 Vol.
South Sudan
69%
Rwanda
29%
Burundi
32%
United States
23%
Canada
24%
Kenya
53%
India
14%
Republic of the Congo
26%
Nigeria
50%
Ethiopia
51%
Somalia
34%
China
21%
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercato aperto: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The rapid escalation of the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo since its May 2026 declaration has dominated trader focus, with confirmed cases surpassing 4,900 and deaths topping 2,300—making it the country's deadliest on record—while brief imported cases reached Uganda before that outbreak concluded in July. Sustained community transmission in Ituri and neighboring provinces, combined with WHO's public health emergency designation, has locked in near-certain resolution for DRC and raised scrutiny on cross-border risks to Uganda, Rwanda, and South Sudan amid ongoing response efforts. Upcoming catalysts include August case-count updates, isolation-rate improvements, and any spillover signals ahead of year-end resolution, though historical containment patterns suggest limited further geographic spread without major lapses in surveillance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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