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Elezioni·Senato Del Texas

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Market icon
Elezioni·Senato Del Texas

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

10% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
10% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains locked into the Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, scheduled for May 26, after both candidates passed the March 18 withdrawal deadline without exiting—despite Paxton's earlier conditional offer to drop out if Senate GOP leadership eliminated the filibuster to pass the SAVE Act voter ID bill. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports show Cornyn outraising Paxton fourfold with over $8 million cash on hand, while polls depict a neck-and-neck contest; Paxton continues campaigning actively, brushing off GOP unity concerns, as President Trump withholds an anticipated endorsement. Trader consensus at 90.4% "No" reflects Paxton's ballot commitment and competitive positioning, barring late-breaking developments like a decisive Trump nod to Cornyn or scandal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,112
Data di fine
25 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains locked into the Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, scheduled for May 26, after both candidates passed the March 18 withdrawal deadline without exiting—despite Paxton's earlier conditional offer to drop out if Senate GOP leadership eliminated the filibuster to pass the SAVE Act voter ID bill. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports show Cornyn outraising Paxton fourfold with over $8 million cash on hand, while polls depict a neck-and-neck contest; Paxton continues campaigning actively, brushing off GOP unity concerns, as President Trump withholds an anticipated endorsement. Trader consensus at 90.4% "No" reflects Paxton's ballot commitment and competitive positioning, barring late-breaking developments like a decisive Trump nod to Cornyn or scandal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,112
Data di fine
25 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Will Ken Paxton drop out?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 10% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 10¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 10% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Will Ken Paxton drop out?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Mar 9, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Will Ken Paxton drop out?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Will Ken Paxton drop out?" è 10% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 10% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will Ken Paxton drop out?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.