Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, assign a 63% implied probability to Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting consensus from private consultoras like Analytica and LPO at around 3%, nudged higher than February's 2.9% print by sharp regulated price pass-throughs. A 20% gasoline hike—adding roughly 0.6 percentage points—amid global oil surges from Iran tensions has offset food disinflation, with meats and dairy contributing elevated weekly gains per LCG data. The 21.5% odds on 2.8–3.0% capture BCRA's more optimistic REM forecast of 2.5%, though February's upside surprise tempers expectations. INDEC's official release, due mid-April, remains the key catalyst amid Milei's ongoing fiscal tightening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
3.1–3.3% 63%
2.8–3.0% 22%
3.4–3.6% 4.0%
2.5–2.7% 3.5%
$19,174 Vol.
$19,174 Vol.
2026/04/14
≤2.1%
<1%
2.2–2.4%
<1%
2.5–2.7%
6%
2.8–3.0%
22%
3.1–3.3%
63%
3.4–3.6%
4%
3.7%+
2%
3.1–3.3% 63%
2.8–3.0% 22%
3.4–3.6% 4.0%
2.5–2.7% 3.5%
$19,174 Vol.
$19,174 Vol.
2026/04/14
≤2.1%
$1,500 Vol.
<1%
2.2–2.4%
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
2.5–2.7%
$1,452 Vol.
6%
2.8–3.0%
$1,937 Vol.
22%
3.1–3.3%
$6,361 Vol.
63%
3.4–3.6%
$2,714 Vol.
4%
3.7%+
$4,084 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, assign a 63% implied probability to Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting consensus from private consultoras like Analytica and LPO at around 3%, nudged higher than February's 2.9% print by sharp regulated price pass-throughs. A 20% gasoline hike—adding roughly 0.6 percentage points—amid global oil surges from Iran tensions has offset food disinflation, with meats and dairy contributing elevated weekly gains per LCG data. The 21.5% odds on 2.8–3.0% capture BCRA's more optimistic REM forecast of 2.5%, though February's upside surprise tempers expectations. INDEC's official release, due mid-April, remains the key catalyst amid Milei's ongoing fiscal tightening.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
音量
$19,174終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, assign a 63% implied probability to Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting consensus from private consultoras like Analytica and LPO at around 3%, nudged higher than February's 2.9% print by sharp regulated price pass-throughs. A 20% gasoline hike—adding roughly 0.6 percentage points—amid global oil surges from Iran tensions has offset food disinflation, with meats and dairy contributing elevated weekly gains per LCG data. The 21.5% odds on 2.8–3.0% capture BCRA's more optimistic REM forecast of 2.5%, though February's upside surprise tempers expectations. INDEC's official release, due mid-April, remains the key catalyst amid Milei's ongoing fiscal tightening.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$19,174終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, assign a 63% implied probability to Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting consensus from private consultoras like Analytica and LPO at around 3%, nudged higher than February's 2.9% print by sharp regulated price pass-throughs. A 20% gasoline hike—adding roughly 0.6 percentage points—amid global oil surges from Iran tensions has offset food disinflation, with meats and dairy contributing elevated weekly gains per LCG data. The 21.5% odds on 2.8–3.0% capture BCRA's more optimistic REM forecast of 2.5%, though February's upside surprise tempers expectations. INDEC's official release, due mid-April, remains the key catalyst amid Milei's ongoing fiscal tightening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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